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S&P price on Oct 30, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 70 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
7,555 or above96%
2
7,540 or above95%
3
7,550 or above91%
4
7,560 or above89%
5
7,565 or above82%
6
7,570 or above81%
7
7,575 or above69%
8
7,580 or above61%
9
7,585 or above56%
10
7,590 or above48%
11
7,595 or above40%
12
7,600 or above40%
13
7,605 or above40%
14
7,615 or above35%
15
7,610 or above34%
16
7,620 or above20%
17
7,625 or above20%
18
7,635 or above18%
19
7,640 or above11%
20
7,755 or above9%
21
7,630 or above8%
22
7,765 or above8%
23
7,650 or above7%
24
7,775 or above7%
25
7,645 or above6%
26
7,780 or above6%
27
7,785 or above5%
28
7,655 or above4%
29
7,720 or above4%
30
7,735 or above4%
31
7,790 or above4%
32
7,660 or above3%
33
7,665 or above3%
34
7,715 or above3%
35
7,795 or above3%
36
7,685 or above2%
37
7,700 or above2%
38
7,705 or above2%
39
7,710 or above2%
40
7,825 or above2%
41
7,670 or above1%
42
7,675 or above1%
43
7,680 or above1%
44
7,690 or above1%
45
7,695 or above1%
46
7,870 or above1%
47
7,525 or above0%
48
7,530 or above0%
49
7,535 or above0%
50
7,545 or above0%
51
7,725 or above0%
52
7,730 or above0%
53
7,740 or above0%
54
7,745 or above0%
55
7,750 or above0%
56
7,760 or above0%
57
7,770 or above0%
58
7,800 or above0%
59
7,805 or above0%
60
7,810 or above0%
61
7,815 or above0%
62
7,820 or above0%
63
7,830 or above0%
64
7,835 or above0%
65
7,840 or above0%
66
7,845 or above0%
67
7,850 or above0%
68
7,855 or above0%
69
7,860 or above0%
70
7,865 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1126%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
Priced about right
KALSHI CHARGES
96¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
96¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 96.0% of the time against a 96c price, which is close enough to fair that the 1c fee eats whatever is left. Based on 124 settled other markets in the 90-99c band, priced about a day before their events.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the other curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,681). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 7,555 or above at 96¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXINXU-26OCT30H1600">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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