ContractTax
DashboardMarketsEdgeCombosTaxes
☆
Odds boards / Other

S&P price on Sep 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 60 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
7,475 or above98%
2
7,480 or above97%
3
7,485 or above95%
4
7,490 or above95%
5
7,495 or above95%
6
7,500 or above95%
7
7,505 or above95%
8
7,515 or above92%
9
7,520 or above91%
10
7,535 or above90%
11
7,540 or above90%
12
7,555 or above77%
13
7,600 or above71%
14
7,575 or above69%
15
7,590 or above68%
16
7,585 or above60%
17
7,620 or above59%
18
7,630 or above59%
19
7,595 or above57%
20
7,640 or above53%
21
7,645 or above51%
22
7,650 or above50%
23
7,615 or above49%
24
7,635 or above43%
25
7,660 or above37%
26
7,655 or above35%
27
7,670 or above29%
28
7,680 or above13%
29
7,685 or above11%
30
7,690 or above9%
31
7,695 or above8%
32
7,705 or above8%
33
7,700 or above7%
34
7,710 or above4%
35
7,740 or above2%
36
7,745 or above2%
37
7,760 or above1%
38
7,765 or above1%
39
7,510 or above0%
40
7,525 or above0%
41
7,530 or above0%
42
7,545 or above0%
43
7,550 or above0%
44
7,560 or above0%
45
7,565 or above0%
46
7,570 or above0%
47
7,580 or above0%
48
7,605 or above0%
49
7,610 or above0%
50
7,625 or above0%
51
7,665 or above0%
52
7,675 or above0%
53
7,715 or above0%
54
7,720 or above0%
55
7,725 or above0%
56
7,730 or above0%
57
7,735 or above0%
58
7,750 or above0%
59
7,755 or above0%
60
7,770 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1966%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
98¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
93¢
AFTER THE 1¢ FEE
-4¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 92.8% of the time, and the crowd is charging 98c. Based on 69 settled other markets in the 90-99c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the other curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 98%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 7,475 or above at 98¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/event/KXINXU-26SEP11H1600" width="360" height="240" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="S&P price on Sep 11, 2026 at 4pm EDT? - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXINXU-26SEP11H1600">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.

Odds update every few minutes. See more live boards on the odds boards hub or single-market live odds.