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S&P price on Sep 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 60 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲67Biggest move: 7,600 or above up to 99% recently.
1
7,450 or above99%
2
7,455 or above99%
3
7,460 or above99%
4
7,470 or above99%
5
7,515 or above▲399%
6
7,525 or above▲399%
7
7,530 or above99%
8
7,540 or above99%
9
7,545 or above▲599%
10
7,600 or above▲6799%
11
7,605 or above▲1699%
12
7,475 or above98%
13
7,500 or above98%
14
7,535 or above98%
15
7,550 or above▲798%
16
7,555 or above▲898%
17
7,560 or above98%
18
7,595 or above▲1898%
19
7,490 or above97%
20
7,495 or above97%
21
7,505 or above97%
22
7,510 or above97%
23
7,520 or above▲297%
24
7,565 or above97%
25
7,570 or above97%
26
7,575 or above97%
27
7,585 or above▲897%
28
7,590 or above▲1097%
29
7,610 or above▲2597%
30
7,580 or above96%
31
7,615 or above▲1294%
32
7,620 or above▲1090%
33
7,625 or above▲886%
34
7,630 or above▼278%
35
7,635 or above▼1656%
36
7,640 or above32%
37
7,645 or above12%
38
7,670 or above12%
39
7,650 or above▼1910%
40
7,655 or above▼285%
41
7,660 or above▼342%
42
7,665 or above2%
43
7,675 or above1%
44
7,680 or above1%
45
7,685 or above1%
46
7,690 or above1%
47
7,695 or above1%
48
7,700 or above▼171%
49
7,705 or above▼141%
50
7,710 or above▼121%
51
7,715 or above▼111%
52
7,720 or above▼81%
53
7,425 or above0%
54
7,430 or above0%
55
7,435 or above0%
56
7,440 or above0%
57
7,445 or above0%
58
7,465 or above0%
59
7,480 or above0%
60
7,485 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 3427%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 7,450 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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