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S&P price on Sep 17, 2026 at 10am EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 60 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
7,425 or above99%
2
7,440 or above99%
3
7,445 or above99%
4
7,450 or above99%
5
7,455 or above99%
6
7,460 or above99%
7
7,465 or above99%
8
7,475 or above99%
9
7,480 or above99%
10
7,485 or above99%
11
7,490 or above99%
12
7,495 or above99%
13
7,500 or above99%
14
7,505 or above99%
15
7,540 or above99%
16
7,430 or above98%
17
7,510 or above98%
18
7,515 or above98%
19
7,520 or above98%
20
7,525 or above98%
21
7,530 or above98%
22
7,535 or above98%
23
7,545 or above98%
24
7,435 or above97%
25
7,470 or above97%
26
7,550 or above97%
27
7,555 or above97%
28
7,560 or above96%
29
7,575 or above92%
30
7,590 or above81%
31
7,565 or above79%
32
7,570 or above79%
33
7,580 or above79%
34
7,585 or above79%
35
7,625 or above76%
36
7,595 or above68%
37
7,605 or above66%
38
7,600 or above60%
39
7,610 or above60%
40
7,620 or above43%
41
7,630 or above19%
42
7,640 or above13%
43
7,635 or above10%
44
7,650 or above5%
45
7,655 or above4%
46
7,660 or above4%
47
7,665 or above3%
48
7,670 or above2%
49
7,680 or above2%
50
7,675 or above1%
51
7,615 or above0%
52
7,645 or above0%
53
7,685 or above0%
54
7,690 or above0%
55
7,695 or above0%
56
7,700 or above0%
57
7,705 or above0%
58
7,710 or above0%
59
7,715 or above0%
60
7,720 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 3678%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 7,425 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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