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S&P price on Sep 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 70 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲82Biggest move: 7,690 or above up to 98% recently.
1
7,485 or above99%
2
7,490 or above99%
3
7,495 or above99%
4
7,505 or above▲2299%
5
7,625 or above▲1999%
6
7,640 or above▲3399%
7
7,680 or above99%
8
7,695 or above99%
9
7,710 or above99%
10
7,610 or above▲598%
11
7,650 or above▲2698%
12
7,660 or above▲3698%
13
7,670 or above98%
14
7,690 or above▲8298%
15
7,700 or above98%
16
7,615 or above97%
17
7,620 or above▲3297%
18
7,630 or above97%
19
7,635 or above▲2197%
20
7,655 or above▲4797%
21
7,675 or above▲7297%
22
7,685 or above97%
23
7,705 or above97%
24
7,715 or above97%
25
7,725 or above97%
26
7,665 or above▲6496%
27
7,720 or above96%
28
7,645 or above▲5395%
29
7,735 or above95%
30
7,730 or above93%
31
7,740 or above93%
32
7,605 or above87%
33
7,745 or above86%
34
7,600 or above85%
35
7,750 or above▲7078%
36
7,755 or above▲5964%
37
7,760 or above▲3946%
38
7,765 or above▲3035%
39
7,770 or above15%
40
7,780 or above5%
41
7,475 or above0%
42
7,480 or above0%
43
7,500 or above0%
44
7,510 or above0%
45
7,515 or above0%
46
7,520 or above0%
47
7,525 or above0%
48
7,530 or above0%
49
7,535 or above0%
50
7,540 or above0%
51
7,545 or above0%
52
7,550 or above0%
53
7,555 or above0%
54
7,560 or above0%
55
7,565 or above0%
56
7,570 or above0%
57
7,575 or above0%
58
7,580 or above0%
59
7,585 or above0%
60
7,590 or above0%
61
7,595 or above0%
62
7,775 or above0%
63
7,785 or above0%
64
7,790 or above0%
65
7,795 or above0%
66
7,800 or above0%
67
7,805 or above0%
68
7,810 or above0%
69
7,815 or above0%
70
7,820 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 3518%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 7,485 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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