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Chicago C vs Cincinnati: Home Runs

Live Kalshi odds · 35 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Ian Happ: 1+99%
2
Pete Crow-Armstrong: 1+15%
3
Michael Conforto: 1+10%
4
Elly De La Cruz: 1+9%
5
Carson Kelly: 1+9%
6
Dansby Swanson: 1+9%
7
Ian Happ: 2+8%
8
Michael Busch: 1+8%
9
Sal Stewart: 1+8%
10
Seiya Suzuki: 1+8%
11
Eugenio Suárez: 1+8%
12
JJ Bleday: 1+8%
13
Matt McLain: 1+8%
14
Tyler Stephenson: 1+8%
15
Alex Bregman: 1+7%
16
Héctor Rodríguez: 1+6%
17
Carlos Jorge: 1+5%
18
Jose Trevino: 1+5%
19
Carlos Jorge: 2+3%
20
Nico Hoerner: 1+3%
21
Elly De La Cruz: 2+2%
22
Michael Busch: 2+2%
23
Pete Crow-Armstrong: 2+2%
24
Sal Stewart: 2+2%
25
JJ Bleday: 2+2%
26
Michael Conforto: 2+2%
27
Alex Bregman: 2+1%
28
Pete Crow-Armstrong: 3+1%
29
Seiya Suzuki: 2+1%
30
Carson Kelly: 2+1%
31
Dansby Swanson: 2+1%
32
Eugenio Suárez: 2+1%
33
Héctor Rodríguez: 2+1%
34
Matt McLain: 2+1%
35
Tyler Stephenson: 2+1%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 265%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Ian Happ: 1+ at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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