Odds boards / Sports

Milwaukee vs Tampa Bay: Team Total

Live Kalshi odds · 14 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Milwaukee over 1.5 runs scored80%
2
Tampa Bay over 1.5 runs scored72%
3
Milwaukee over 2.5 runs scored64%
4
Tampa Bay over 2.5 runs scored54%
5
Milwaukee over 3.5 runs scored49%
6
Tampa Bay over 3.5 runs scored36%
7
Milwaukee over 4.5 runs scored36%
8
Milwaukee over 5.5 runs scored26%
9
Tampa Bay over 4.5 runs scored24%
10
Milwaukee over 6.5 runs scored15%
11
Tampa Bay over 5.5 runs scored13%
12
Milwaukee over 7.5 runs scored11%
13
Tampa Bay over 6.5 runs scored8%
14
Tampa Bay over 7.5 runs scored5%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 493%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
80¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
87¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+5¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 87.0% of the time, and the crowd is charging 80c. Based on 1,243 settled sports markets in the 80-89c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 5c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 80–89¢ have gone on to settle YES 86% of the time (n=1,564). The price implies 80%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Milwaukee over 1.5 runs scored at 80¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXMLBTEAMTOTAL-26OCT282000MILTB">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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