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Petronas Grand Prix of Malaysia Winner

Live Kalshi odds · 20 outcomesOne winner
1
Marc Marquez99%
2
Pedro Acosta1%
3
Marco Bezzecchi1%
4
Alex Marquez1%
5
Ai Ogura1%
6
Maverick Vinales0%
7
Jack Miller0%
8
Johann Zarco0%
9
Luca Marini0%
10
Fabio Quartararo0%
11
Franco Morbidelli0%
12
Enea Bastianini0%
13
Brad Binder0%
14
Joan Mir0%
15
Alex Rins0%
16
Fabio Di Giannantonio0%
17
Francesco Bagnaia0%
18
Augusto Fernandez0%
19
Diogo Moreira0%
20
Iker Lecuona0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 103%, a 3-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,713). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Marc Marquez at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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