ContractTax
DashboardMarketsEdgeCombosTaxes
☆
Odds boards / Other

Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar Winner

Live Kalshi odds · 20 outcomesOne winner
1
Marc Marquez37%
2
Alex Marquez10%
3
Maverick Vinales0%
4
Jack Miller0%
5
Johann Zarco0%
6
Luca Marini0%
7
Fabio Quartararo0%
8
Franco Morbidelli0%
9
Enea Bastianini0%
10
Brad Binder0%
11
Joan Mir0%
12
Pedro Acosta0%
13
Alex Rins0%
14
Fabio Di Giannantonio0%
15
Francesco Bagnaia0%
16
Marco Bezzecchi0%
17
Ai Ogura0%
18
Augusto Fernandez0%
19
Diogo Moreira0%
20
Iker Lecuona0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 47%, a 53-point underround. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
37¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
30¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
-5¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 29.7% of the time, and the crowd is charging 37c. Based on 209 settled other markets in the 30-39c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 2c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the other curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 30–39¢ have gone on to settle YES 35% of the time (n=3,457). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Marc Marquez at 37¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/event/KXMOTOGPRACE-QATA26" width="360" height="240" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Qatar Airways Grand Prix of Qatar Winner - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXMOTOGPRACE-QATA26">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.

Odds update every few minutes. See more live boards on the odds boards hub or single-market live odds.