Odds boards / Economics

Nasdaq-100 price on Aug 11, 2026 at 2pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 400 outcomesMultiple can happen

29,500 or above76%

29,510 or above74%

29,520 or above74%

29,530 or above73%

29,540 or above71%

29,590 or above67%

29,650 or above65%

29,610 or above63%

29,670 or above63%

29,620 or above61%

29,640 or above59%

29,600 or above57%

29,630 or above55%

29,710 or above54%

29,730 or above54%

29,740 or above53%

29,550 or above51%

29,560 or above51%

29,570 or above51%

29,750 or above50%

29,660 or above48%

29,690 or above43%

29,700 or above43%

29,790 or above30%

29,800 or above28%

29,810 or above26%

29,820 or above24%

29,850 or above21%

29,920 or above9%

29,940 or above7%

29,950 or above7%

29,990 or above7%

29,930 or above6%

30,030 or above5%

30,040 or above5%

29,970 or above4%

29,980 or above4%

30,010 or above4%

30,020 or above4%

30,060 or above4%

30,070 or above4%

30,000 or above3%

29,960 or above2%

30,050 or above2%

30,080 or above2%

30,090 or above2%

30,100 or above2%

30,110 or above2%

30,120 or above2%

30,130 or above2%

30,140 or above2%

30,150 or above2%

30,160 or above1%

30,170 or above1%

30,180 or above1%

30,190 or above1%

30,200 or above1%

30,210 or above1%

30,220 or above1%

30,230 or above1%

30,240 or above1%

27,700 or above0%

27,710 or above0%

27,720 or above0%

27,730 or above0%

27,740 or above0%

27,750 or above0%

27,760 or above0%

27,770 or above0%

27,780 or above0%

27,790 or above0%

27,800 or above0%

27,810 or above0%

27,820 or above0%

27,830 or above0%

27,840 or above0%

27,850 or above0%

27,860 or above0%

27,870 or above0%

27,880 or above0%

27,890 or above0%

27,900 or above0%

27,910 or above0%

27,920 or above0%

27,930 or above0%

27,940 or above0%

27,950 or above0%

27,960 or above0%

27,970 or above0%

27,980 or above0%

27,990 or above0%

28,000 or above0%

28,010 or above0%

28,020 or above0%

28,030 or above0%

28,040 or above0%

28,050 or above0%

28,060 or above0%

28,070 or above0%

28,080 or above0%

28,090 or above0%

28,100 or above0%

28,110 or above0%

28,120 or above0%

28,130 or above0%

28,140 or above0%

28,150 or above0%

28,160 or above0%

28,170 or above0%

28,180 or above0%

28,190 or above0%

28,200 or above0%

28,210 or above0%

28,220 or above0%

28,230 or above0%

28,240 or above0%

28,250 or above0%

28,260 or above0%

28,270 or above0%

28,280 or above0%

28,290 or above0%

28,300 or above0%

28,310 or above0%

28,320 or above0%

28,330 or above0%

28,340 or above0%

28,350 or above0%

28,360 or above0%

28,370 or above0%

28,380 or above0%

28,390 or above0%

28,400 or above0%

28,410 or above0%

28,420 or above0%

28,430 or above0%

28,440 or above0%

28,450 or above0%

28,460 or above0%

28,470 or above0%

28,480 or above0%

28,490 or above0%

28,500 or above0%

28,510 or above0%

28,520 or above0%

28,530 or above0%

28,540 or above0%

28,550 or above0%

28,560 or above0%

28,570 or above0%

28,580 or above0%

28,590 or above0%

28,600 or above0%

28,610 or above0%

28,620 or above0%

28,630 or above0%

28,640 or above0%

28,650 or above0%

28,660 or above0%

28,670 or above0%

28,680 or above0%

28,690 or above0%

28,700 or above0%

28,710 or above0%

28,720 or above0%

28,730 or above0%

28,740 or above0%

28,750 or above0%

28,760 or above0%

28,770 or above0%

28,780 or above0%

28,790 or above0%

28,800 or above0%

28,810 or above0%

28,820 or above0%

28,830 or above0%

28,840 or above0%

28,850 or above0%

28,860 or above0%

28,870 or above0%

28,880 or above0%

28,890 or above0%

28,900 or above0%

28,910 or above0%

28,920 or above0%

28,930 or above0%

28,940 or above0%

28,950 or above0%

28,960 or above0%

28,970 or above0%

28,980 or above0%

28,990 or above0%

29,000 or above0%

29,010 or above0%

29,020 or above0%

29,030 or above0%

29,040 or above0%

29,050 or above0%

29,060 or above0%

29,070 or above0%

29,080 or above0%

29,090 or above0%

29,100 or above0%

29,110 or above0%

29,120 or above0%

29,130 or above0%

29,140 or above0%

29,150 or above0%

29,160 or above0%

29,170 or above0%

29,180 or above0%

29,190 or above0%

29,200 or above0%

29,210 or above0%

29,220 or above0%

29,230 or above0%

29,240 or above0%

29,250 or above0%

29,260 or above0%

29,270 or above0%

29,280 or above0%

29,290 or above0%

29,300 or above0%

29,310 or above0%

29,320 or above0%

29,330 or above0%

29,340 or above0%

29,350 or above0%

29,360 or above0%

29,370 or above0%

29,380 or above0%

29,390 or above0%

29,400 or above0%

29,410 or above0%

29,420 or above0%

29,430 or above0%

29,440 or above0%

29,450 or above0%

29,460 or above0%

29,470 or above0%

29,480 or above0%

29,490 or above0%

29,580 or above0%

29,680 or above0%

29,720 or above0%

29,760 or above0%

29,770 or above0%

29,780 or above0%

29,830 or above0%

29,840 or above0%

29,860 or above0%

29,870 or above0%

29,880 or above0%

29,890 or above0%

29,900 or above0%

29,910 or above0%

30,250 or above0%

30,260 or above0%

30,270 or above0%

30,280 or above0%

30,290 or above0%

30,300 or above0%

30,310 or above0%

30,320 or above0%

30,330 or above0%

30,340 or above0%

30,350 or above0%

30,360 or above0%

30,370 or above0%

30,380 or above0%

30,390 or above0%

30,400 or above0%

30,410 or above0%

30,420 or above0%

30,430 or above0%

30,440 or above0%

30,450 or above0%

30,460 or above0%

30,470 or above0%

30,480 or above0%

30,490 or above0%

30,500 or above0%

30,510 or above0%

30,520 or above0%

30,530 or above0%

30,540 or above0%

30,550 or above0%

30,560 or above0%

30,570 or above0%

30,580 or above0%

30,590 or above0%

30,600 or above0%

30,610 or above0%

30,620 or above0%

30,630 or above0%

30,640 or above0%

30,650 or above0%

30,660 or above0%

30,670 or above0%

30,680 or above0%

30,690 or above0%

30,700 or above0%

30,710 or above0%

30,720 or above0%

30,730 or above0%

30,740 or above0%

30,750 or above0%

30,760 or above0%

30,770 or above0%

30,780 or above0%

30,790 or above0%

30,800 or above0%

30,810 or above0%

30,820 or above0%

30,830 or above0%

30,840 or above0%

30,850 or above0%

30,860 or above0%

30,870 or above0%

30,880 or above0%

30,890 or above0%

30,900 or above0%

30,910 or above0%

30,920 or above0%

30,930 or above0%

30,940 or above0%

30,950 or above0%

30,960 or above0%

30,970 or above0%

30,980 or above0%

30,990 or above0%

31,000 or above0%

31,010 or above0%

31,020 or above0%

31,030 or above0%

31,040 or above0%

31,050 or above0%

31,060 or above0%

31,070 or above0%

31,080 or above0%

31,090 or above0%

31,100 or above0%

31,110 or above0%

31,120 or above0%

31,130 or above0%

31,140 or above0%

31,150 or above0%

31,160 or above0%

31,170 or above0%

31,180 or above0%

31,190 or above0%

31,200 or above0%

31,210 or above0%

31,220 or above0%

31,230 or above0%

31,240 or above0%

31,250 or above0%

31,260 or above0%

31,270 or above0%

31,280 or above0%

31,290 or above0%

31,300 or above0%

31,310 or above0%

31,320 or above0%

31,330 or above0%

31,340 or above0%

31,350 or above0%

31,360 or above0%

31,370 or above0%

31,380 or above0%

31,390 or above0%

31,400 or above0%

31,410 or above0%

31,420 or above0%

31,430 or above0%

31,440 or above0%

31,450 or above0%

31,460 or above0%

31,470 or above0%

31,480 or above0%

31,490 or above0%

31,500 or above0%

31,510 or above0%

31,520 or above0%

31,530 or above0%

31,540 or above0%

31,550 or above0%

31,560 or above0%

31,570 or above0%

31,580 or above0%

31,590 or above0%

31,600 or above0%

31,610 or above0%

31,620 or above0%

31,630 or above0%

31,640 or above0%

31,650 or above0%

31,660 or above0%

31,670 or above0%

31,680 or above0%

31,690 or above0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1587%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

Priced about right

KALSHI CHARGES

76¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

75¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 75.3% of the time against a 76c price, which is close enough to fair that the 2c fee eats whatever is left. Based on 150 settled markets across all categories in the 70-79c band (we do not yet hold enough economics history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence).

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the economics curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 70–79¢ have gone on to settle YES 75% of the time (n=150). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, 29,500 or above at 76¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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