Odds boards / Economics

Nasdaq-100 price on Nov 9, 2026 at 4pm EST?

Live Kalshi odds · 400 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
26,700 or above71%
2
26,710 or above70%
3
26,990 or above60%
4
27,060 or above57%
5
27,000 or above55%
6
27,110 or above53%
7
27,080 or above50%
8
26,750 or above49%
9
27,120 or above46%
10
27,010 or above36%
11
28,460 or above3%
12
24,600 or above0%
13
24,610 or above0%
14
24,620 or above0%
15
24,630 or above0%
16
24,640 or above0%
17
24,650 or above0%
18
24,660 or above0%
19
24,670 or above0%
20
24,680 or above0%
21
24,690 or above0%
22
24,700 or above0%
23
24,710 or above0%
24
24,720 or above0%
25
24,730 or above0%
26
24,740 or above0%
27
24,750 or above0%
28
24,760 or above0%
29
24,770 or above0%
30
24,780 or above0%
31
24,790 or above0%
32
24,800 or above0%
33
24,810 or above0%
34
24,820 or above0%
35
24,830 or above0%
36
24,840 or above0%
37
24,850 or above0%
38
24,860 or above0%
39
24,870 or above0%
40
24,880 or above0%
41
24,890 or above0%
42
24,900 or above0%
43
24,910 or above0%
44
24,920 or above0%
45
24,930 or above0%
46
24,940 or above0%
47
24,950 or above0%
48
24,960 or above0%
49
24,970 or above0%
50
24,980 or above0%
51
24,990 or above0%
52
25,000 or above0%
53
25,010 or above0%
54
25,020 or above0%
55
25,030 or above0%
56
25,040 or above0%
57
25,050 or above0%
58
25,060 or above0%
59
25,070 or above0%
60
25,080 or above0%
61
25,090 or above0%
62
25,100 or above0%
63
25,110 or above0%
64
25,120 or above0%
65
25,130 or above0%
66
25,140 or above0%
67
25,150 or above0%
68
25,160 or above0%
69
25,170 or above0%
70
25,180 or above0%
71
25,190 or above0%
72
25,200 or above0%
73
25,210 or above0%
74
25,220 or above0%
75
25,230 or above0%
76
25,240 or above0%
77
25,250 or above0%
78
25,260 or above0%
79
25,270 or above0%
80
25,280 or above0%
81
25,290 or above0%
82
25,300 or above0%
83
25,310 or above0%
84
25,320 or above0%
85
25,330 or above0%
86
25,340 or above0%
87
25,350 or above0%
88
25,360 or above0%
89
25,370 or above0%
90
25,380 or above0%
91
25,390 or above0%
92
25,400 or above0%
93
25,410 or above0%
94
25,420 or above0%
95
25,430 or above0%
96
25,440 or above0%
97
25,450 or above0%
98
25,460 or above0%
99
25,470 or above0%
100
25,480 or above0%
101
25,490 or above0%
102
25,500 or above0%
103
25,510 or above0%
104
25,520 or above0%
105
25,530 or above0%
106
25,540 or above0%
107
25,550 or above0%
108
25,560 or above0%
109
25,570 or above0%
110
25,580 or above0%
111
25,590 or above0%
112
25,600 or above0%
113
25,610 or above0%
114
25,620 or above0%
115
25,630 or above0%
116
25,640 or above0%
117
25,650 or above0%
118
25,660 or above0%
119
25,670 or above0%
120
25,680 or above0%
121
25,690 or above0%
122
25,700 or above0%
123
25,710 or above0%
124
25,720 or above0%
125
25,730 or above0%
126
25,740 or above0%
127
25,750 or above0%
128
25,760 or above0%
129
25,770 or above0%
130
25,780 or above0%
131
25,790 or above0%
132
25,800 or above0%
133
25,810 or above0%
134
25,820 or above0%
135
25,830 or above0%
136
25,840 or above0%
137
25,850 or above0%
138
25,860 or above0%
139
25,870 or above0%
140
25,880 or above0%
141
25,890 or above0%
142
25,900 or above0%
143
25,910 or above0%
144
25,920 or above0%
145
25,930 or above0%
146
25,940 or above0%
147
25,950 or above0%
148
25,960 or above0%
149
25,970 or above0%
150
25,980 or above0%
151
25,990 or above0%
152
26,000 or above0%
153
26,010 or above0%
154
26,020 or above0%
155
26,030 or above0%
156
26,040 or above0%
157
26,050 or above0%
158
26,060 or above0%
159
26,070 or above0%
160
26,080 or above0%
161
26,090 or above0%
162
26,100 or above0%
163
26,110 or above0%
164
26,120 or above0%
165
26,130 or above0%
166
26,140 or above0%
167
26,150 or above0%
168
26,160 or above0%
169
26,170 or above0%
170
26,180 or above0%
171
26,190 or above0%
172
26,200 or above0%
173
26,210 or above0%
174
26,220 or above0%
175
26,230 or above0%
176
26,240 or above0%
177
26,250 or above0%
178
26,260 or above0%
179
26,270 or above0%
180
26,280 or above0%
181
26,290 or above0%
182
26,300 or above0%
183
26,310 or above0%
184
26,320 or above0%
185
26,330 or above0%
186
26,340 or above0%
187
26,350 or above0%
188
26,360 or above0%
189
26,370 or above0%
190
26,380 or above0%
191
26,390 or above0%
192
26,400 or above0%
193
26,410 or above0%
194
26,420 or above0%
195
26,430 or above0%
196
26,440 or above0%
197
26,450 or above0%
198
26,460 or above0%
199
26,470 or above0%
200
26,480 or above0%
201
26,490 or above0%
202
26,500 or above0%
203
26,510 or above0%
204
26,520 or above0%
205
26,530 or above0%
206
26,540 or above0%
207
26,550 or above0%
208
26,560 or above0%
209
26,570 or above0%
210
26,580 or above0%
211
26,590 or above0%
212
26,600 or above0%
213
26,610 or above0%
214
26,620 or above0%
215
26,630 or above0%
216
26,640 or above0%
217
26,650 or above0%
218
26,660 or above0%
219
26,670 or above0%
220
26,680 or above0%
221
26,690 or above0%
222
26,720 or above0%
223
26,730 or above0%
224
26,740 or above0%
225
26,760 or above0%
226
26,770 or above0%
227
26,780 or above0%
228
26,790 or above0%
229
26,800 or above0%
230
26,810 or above0%
231
26,820 or above0%
232
26,830 or above0%
233
26,840 or above0%
234
26,850 or above0%
235
26,860 or above0%
236
26,870 or above0%
237
26,880 or above0%
238
26,890 or above0%
239
26,900 or above0%
240
26,910 or above0%
241
26,920 or above0%
242
26,930 or above0%
243
26,940 or above0%
244
26,950 or above0%
245
26,960 or above0%
246
26,970 or above0%
247
26,980 or above0%
248
27,020 or above0%
249
27,030 or above0%
250
27,040 or above0%
251
27,050 or above0%
252
27,070 or above0%
253
27,090 or above0%
254
27,100 or above0%
255
27,130 or above0%
256
27,140 or above0%
257
27,150 or above0%
258
27,160 or above0%
259
27,170 or above0%
260
27,180 or above0%
261
27,190 or above0%
262
27,200 or above0%
263
27,210 or above0%
264
27,220 or above0%
265
27,230 or above0%
266
27,240 or above0%
267
27,250 or above0%
268
27,260 or above0%
269
27,270 or above0%
270
27,280 or above0%
271
27,290 or above0%
272
27,300 or above0%
273
27,310 or above0%
274
27,320 or above0%
275
27,330 or above0%
276
27,340 or above0%
277
27,350 or above0%
278
27,360 or above0%
279
27,370 or above0%
280
27,380 or above0%
281
27,390 or above0%
282
27,400 or above0%
283
27,410 or above0%
284
27,420 or above0%
285
27,430 or above0%
286
27,440 or above0%
287
27,450 or above0%
288
27,460 or above0%
289
27,470 or above0%
290
27,480 or above0%
291
27,490 or above0%
292
27,500 or above0%
293
27,510 or above0%
294
27,520 or above0%
295
27,530 or above0%
296
27,540 or above0%
297
27,550 or above0%
298
27,560 or above0%
299
27,570 or above0%
300
27,580 or above0%
301
27,590 or above0%
302
27,600 or above0%
303
27,610 or above0%
304
27,620 or above0%
305
27,630 or above0%
306
27,640 or above0%
307
27,650 or above0%
308
27,660 or above0%
309
27,670 or above0%
310
27,680 or above0%
311
27,690 or above0%
312
27,700 or above0%
313
27,710 or above0%
314
27,720 or above0%
315
27,730 or above0%
316
27,740 or above0%
317
27,750 or above0%
318
27,760 or above0%
319
27,770 or above0%
320
27,780 or above0%
321
27,790 or above0%
322
27,800 or above0%
323
27,810 or above0%
324
27,820 or above0%
325
27,830 or above0%
326
27,840 or above0%
327
27,850 or above0%
328
27,860 or above0%
329
27,870 or above0%
330
27,880 or above0%
331
27,890 or above0%
332
27,900 or above0%
333
27,910 or above0%
334
27,920 or above0%
335
27,930 or above0%
336
27,940 or above0%
337
27,950 or above0%
338
27,960 or above0%
339
27,970 or above0%
340
27,980 or above0%
341
27,990 or above0%
342
28,000 or above0%
343
28,010 or above0%
344
28,020 or above0%
345
28,030 or above0%
346
28,040 or above0%
347
28,050 or above0%
348
28,060 or above0%
349
28,070 or above0%
350
28,080 or above0%
351
28,090 or above0%
352
28,100 or above0%
353
28,110 or above0%
354
28,120 or above0%
355
28,130 or above0%
356
28,140 or above0%
357
28,150 or above0%
358
28,160 or above0%
359
28,170 or above0%
360
28,180 or above0%
361
28,190 or above0%
362
28,200 or above0%
363
28,210 or above0%
364
28,220 or above0%
365
28,230 or above0%
366
28,240 or above0%
367
28,250 or above0%
368
28,260 or above0%
369
28,270 or above0%
370
28,280 or above0%
371
28,290 or above0%
372
28,300 or above0%
373
28,310 or above0%
374
28,320 or above0%
375
28,330 or above0%
376
28,340 or above0%
377
28,350 or above0%
378
28,360 or above0%
379
28,370 or above0%
380
28,380 or above0%
381
28,390 or above0%
382
28,400 or above0%
383
28,410 or above0%
384
28,420 or above0%
385
28,430 or above0%
386
28,440 or above0%
387
28,450 or above0%
388
28,470 or above0%
389
28,480 or above0%
390
28,490 or above0%
391
28,500 or above0%
392
28,510 or above0%
393
28,520 or above0%
394
28,530 or above0%
395
28,540 or above0%
396
28,550 or above0%
397
28,560 or above0%
398
28,570 or above0%
399
28,580 or above0%
400
28,590 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 550%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
71¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
87¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+14¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 87.2% of the time, and the crowd is charging 71c. Based on 47 settled economics markets in the 70-79c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 14c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the economics curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 70–79¢ have gone on to settle YES 77% of the time (n=2,110). The price implies 71%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 26,700 or above at 71¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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