Odds boards / Economics

Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 400 outcomesMultiple can happen

30,730 or above98%

30,980 or above93%

30,990 or above91%

31,120 or above64%

31,100 or above62%

31,130 or above62%

31,140 or above60%

31,200 or above57%

31,150 or above48%

31,160 or above44%

31,190 or above40%

33,190 or above1%

29,200 or above0%

29,210 or above0%

29,220 or above0%

29,230 or above0%

29,240 or above0%

29,250 or above0%

29,260 or above0%

29,270 or above0%

29,280 or above0%

29,290 or above0%

29,300 or above0%

29,310 or above0%

29,320 or above0%

29,330 or above0%

29,340 or above0%

29,350 or above0%

29,360 or above0%

29,370 or above0%

29,380 or above0%

29,390 or above0%

29,400 or above0%

29,410 or above0%

29,420 or above0%

29,430 or above0%

29,440 or above0%

29,450 or above0%

29,460 or above0%

29,470 or above0%

29,480 or above0%

29,490 or above0%

29,500 or above0%

29,510 or above0%

29,520 or above0%

29,530 or above0%

29,540 or above0%

29,550 or above0%

29,560 or above0%

29,570 or above0%

29,580 or above0%

29,590 or above0%

29,600 or above0%

29,610 or above0%

29,620 or above0%

29,630 or above0%

29,640 or above0%

29,650 or above0%

29,660 or above0%

29,670 or above0%

29,680 or above0%

29,690 or above0%

29,700 or above0%

29,710 or above0%

29,720 or above0%

29,730 or above0%

29,740 or above0%

29,750 or above0%

29,760 or above0%

29,770 or above0%

29,780 or above0%

29,790 or above0%

29,800 or above0%

29,810 or above0%

29,820 or above0%

29,830 or above0%

29,840 or above0%

29,850 or above0%

29,860 or above0%

29,870 or above0%

29,880 or above0%

29,890 or above0%

29,900 or above0%

29,910 or above0%

29,920 or above0%

29,930 or above0%

29,940 or above0%

29,950 or above0%

29,960 or above0%

29,970 or above0%

29,980 or above0%

29,990 or above0%

30,000 or above0%

30,010 or above0%

30,020 or above0%

30,030 or above0%

30,040 or above0%

30,050 or above0%

30,060 or above0%

30,070 or above0%

30,080 or above0%

30,090 or above0%

30,100 or above0%

30,110 or above0%

30,120 or above0%

30,130 or above0%

30,140 or above0%

30,150 or above0%

30,160 or above0%

30,170 or above0%

30,180 or above0%

30,190 or above0%

30,200 or above0%

30,210 or above0%

30,220 or above0%

30,230 or above0%

30,240 or above0%

30,250 or above0%

30,260 or above0%

30,270 or above0%

30,280 or above0%

30,290 or above0%

30,300 or above0%

30,310 or above0%

30,320 or above0%

30,330 or above0%

30,340 or above0%

30,350 or above0%

30,360 or above0%

30,370 or above0%

30,380 or above0%

30,390 or above0%

30,400 or above0%

30,410 or above0%

30,420 or above0%

30,430 or above0%

30,440 or above0%

30,450 or above0%

30,460 or above0%

30,470 or above0%

30,480 or above0%

30,490 or above0%

30,500 or above0%

30,510 or above0%

30,520 or above0%

30,530 or above0%

30,540 or above0%

30,550 or above0%

30,560 or above0%

30,570 or above0%

30,580 or above0%

30,590 or above0%

30,600 or above0%

30,610 or above0%

30,620 or above0%

30,630 or above0%

30,640 or above0%

30,650 or above0%

30,660 or above0%

30,670 or above0%

30,680 or above0%

30,690 or above0%

30,700 or above0%

30,710 or above0%

30,720 or above0%

30,740 or above0%

30,750 or above0%

30,760 or above0%

30,770 or above0%

30,780 or above0%

30,790 or above0%

30,800 or above0%

30,810 or above0%

30,820 or above0%

30,830 or above0%

30,840 or above0%

30,850 or above0%

30,860 or above0%

30,870 or above0%

30,880 or above0%

30,890 or above0%

30,900 or above0%

30,910 or above0%

30,920 or above0%

30,930 or above0%

30,940 or above0%

30,950 or above0%

30,960 or above0%

30,970 or above0%

31,000 or above0%

31,010 or above0%

31,020 or above0%

31,030 or above0%

31,040 or above0%

31,050 or above0%

31,060 or above0%

31,070 or above0%

31,080 or above0%

31,090 or above0%

31,110 or above0%

31,170 or above0%

31,180 or above0%

31,210 or above0%

31,220 or above0%

31,230 or above0%

31,240 or above0%

31,250 or above0%

31,260 or above0%

31,270 or above0%

31,280 or above0%

31,290 or above0%

31,300 or above0%

31,310 or above0%

31,320 or above0%

31,330 or above0%

31,340 or above0%

31,350 or above0%

31,360 or above0%

31,370 or above0%

31,380 or above0%

31,390 or above0%

31,400 or above0%

31,410 or above0%

31,420 or above0%

31,430 or above0%

31,440 or above0%

31,450 or above0%

31,460 or above0%

31,470 or above0%

31,480 or above0%

31,490 or above0%

31,500 or above0%

31,510 or above0%

31,520 or above0%

31,530 or above0%

31,540 or above0%

31,550 or above0%

31,560 or above0%

31,570 or above0%

31,580 or above0%

31,590 or above0%

31,600 or above0%

31,610 or above0%

31,620 or above0%

31,630 or above0%

31,640 or above0%

31,650 or above0%

31,660 or above0%

31,670 or above0%

31,680 or above0%

31,690 or above0%

31,700 or above0%

31,710 or above0%

31,720 or above0%

31,730 or above0%

31,740 or above0%

31,750 or above0%

31,760 or above0%

31,770 or above0%

31,780 or above0%

31,790 or above0%

31,800 or above0%

31,810 or above0%

31,820 or above0%

31,830 or above0%

31,840 or above0%

31,850 or above0%

31,860 or above0%

31,870 or above0%

31,880 or above0%

31,890 or above0%

31,900 or above0%

31,910 or above0%

31,920 or above0%

31,930 or above0%

31,940 or above0%

31,950 or above0%

31,960 or above0%

31,970 or above0%

31,980 or above0%

31,990 or above0%

32,000 or above0%

32,010 or above0%

32,020 or above0%

32,030 or above0%

32,040 or above0%

32,050 or above0%

32,060 or above0%

32,070 or above0%

32,080 or above0%

32,090 or above0%

32,100 or above0%

32,110 or above0%

32,120 or above0%

32,130 or above0%

32,140 or above0%

32,150 or above0%

32,160 or above0%

32,170 or above0%

32,180 or above0%

32,190 or above0%

32,200 or above0%

32,210 or above0%

32,220 or above0%

32,230 or above0%

32,240 or above0%

32,250 or above0%

32,260 or above0%

32,270 or above0%

32,280 or above0%

32,290 or above0%

32,300 or above0%

32,310 or above0%

32,320 or above0%

32,330 or above0%

32,340 or above0%

32,350 or above0%

32,360 or above0%

32,370 or above0%

32,380 or above0%

32,390 or above0%

32,400 or above0%

32,410 or above0%

32,420 or above0%

32,430 or above0%

32,440 or above0%

32,450 or above0%

32,460 or above0%

32,470 or above0%

32,480 or above0%

32,490 or above0%

32,500 or above0%

32,510 or above0%

32,520 or above0%

32,530 or above0%

32,540 or above0%

32,550 or above0%

32,560 or above0%

32,570 or above0%

32,580 or above0%

32,590 or above0%

32,600 or above0%

32,610 or above0%

32,620 or above0%

32,630 or above0%

32,640 or above0%

32,650 or above0%

32,660 or above0%

32,670 or above0%

32,680 or above0%

32,690 or above0%

32,700 or above0%

32,710 or above0%

32,720 or above0%

32,730 or above0%

32,740 or above0%

32,750 or above0%

32,760 or above0%

32,770 or above0%

32,780 or above0%

32,790 or above0%

32,800 or above0%

32,810 or above0%

32,820 or above0%

32,830 or above0%

32,840 or above0%

32,850 or above0%

32,860 or above0%

32,870 or above0%

32,880 or above0%

32,890 or above0%

32,900 or above0%

32,910 or above0%

32,920 or above0%

32,930 or above0%

32,940 or above0%

32,950 or above0%

32,960 or above0%

32,970 or above0%

32,980 or above0%

32,990 or above0%

33,000 or above0%

33,010 or above0%

33,020 or above0%

33,030 or above0%

33,040 or above0%

33,050 or above0%

33,060 or above0%

33,070 or above0%

33,080 or above0%

33,090 or above0%

33,100 or above0%

33,110 or above0%

33,120 or above0%

33,130 or above0%

33,140 or above0%

33,150 or above0%

33,160 or above0%

33,170 or above0%

33,180 or above0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 720%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be overcharging for this

KALSHI CHARGES

98¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

84¢

AFTER THE 1¢ FEE

-13¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES only 84.3% of the time, and the crowd is charging 98c. Based on 51 settled economics markets in the 90-99c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the economics curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,485). The price implies 98%, so historically this band has come in about 4 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, 30,730 or above at 98¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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