Odds boards / Economics

Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 12, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 400 outcomesMultiple can happen

▼65Biggest move: 30,810 or above down to 6% recently.

30,190 or above99%

30,200 or above99%

30,430 or above99%

30,540 or above97%

30,410 or above95%

30,400 or above94%

30,530 or above94%

30,600 or above91%

30,650 or above84%

30,660 or above84%

30,550 or above81%

30,560 or above81%

30,570 or above81%

30,590 or above81%

30,670 or above79%

30,610 or above78%

30,580 or above76%

30,630 or above75%

30,640 or above71%

30,620 or above69%

30,710 or above69%

30,700 or above68%

30,690 or above67%

30,720 or above65%

30,730 or above56%

30,680 or above52%

30,750 or above47%

30,740 or above46%

30,760 or above44%

31,070 or above21%

31,080 or above21%

31,090 or above18%

31,190 or above▼1115%

30,770 or above14%

30,780 or above11%

30,790 or above11%

30,820 or above11%

31,260 or above11%

30,940 or above9%

30,960 or above9%

30,970 or above9%

30,980 or above9%

30,990 or above9%

31,010 or above9%

31,020 or above9%

31,030 or above9%

31,040 or above9%

31,050 or above9%

31,060 or above9%

31,240 or above9%

31,250 or above8%

30,850 or above▼607%

30,800 or above6%

30,810 or above▼656%

30,860 or above▼596%

30,930 or above▼366%

30,870 or above▼605%

31,100 or above5%

31,290 or above5%

31,310 or above▲15%

30,830 or above3%

30,880 or above3%

30,920 or above3%

31,360 or above3%

30,840 or above2%

30,890 or above2%

30,900 or above2%

30,910 or above2%

30,950 or above2%

31,000 or above2%

31,380 or above2%

31,390 or above2%

31,400 or above2%

28,700 or above0%

28,710 or above0%

28,720 or above0%

28,730 or above0%

28,740 or above0%

28,750 or above0%

28,760 or above0%

28,770 or above0%

28,780 or above0%

28,790 or above0%

28,800 or above0%

28,810 or above0%

28,820 or above0%

28,830 or above0%

28,840 or above0%

28,850 or above0%

28,860 or above0%

28,870 or above0%

28,880 or above0%

28,890 or above0%

28,900 or above0%

28,910 or above0%

28,920 or above0%

28,930 or above0%

28,940 or above0%

28,950 or above0%

28,960 or above0%

28,970 or above0%

28,980 or above0%

28,990 or above0%

29,000 or above0%

29,010 or above0%

29,020 or above0%

29,030 or above0%

29,040 or above0%

29,050 or above0%

29,060 or above0%

29,070 or above0%

29,080 or above0%

29,090 or above0%

29,100 or above0%

29,110 or above0%

29,120 or above0%

29,130 or above0%

29,140 or above0%

29,150 or above0%

29,160 or above0%

29,170 or above0%

29,180 or above0%

29,190 or above0%

29,200 or above0%

29,210 or above0%

29,220 or above0%

29,230 or above0%

29,240 or above0%

29,250 or above0%

29,260 or above0%

29,270 or above0%

29,280 or above0%

29,290 or above0%

29,300 or above0%

29,310 or above0%

29,320 or above0%

29,330 or above0%

29,340 or above0%

29,350 or above0%

29,360 or above0%

29,370 or above0%

29,380 or above0%

29,390 or above0%

29,400 or above0%

29,410 or above0%

29,420 or above0%

29,430 or above0%

29,440 or above0%

29,450 or above0%

29,460 or above0%

29,470 or above0%

29,480 or above0%

29,490 or above0%

29,500 or above0%

29,510 or above0%

29,520 or above0%

29,530 or above0%

29,540 or above0%

29,550 or above0%

29,560 or above0%

29,570 or above0%

29,580 or above0%

29,590 or above0%

29,600 or above0%

29,610 or above0%

29,620 or above0%

29,630 or above0%

29,640 or above0%

29,650 or above0%

29,660 or above0%

29,670 or above0%

29,680 or above0%

29,690 or above0%

29,700 or above0%

29,710 or above0%

29,720 or above0%

29,730 or above0%

29,740 or above0%

29,750 or above0%

29,760 or above0%

29,770 or above0%

29,780 or above0%

29,790 or above0%

29,800 or above0%

29,810 or above0%

29,820 or above0%

29,830 or above0%

29,840 or above0%

29,850 or above0%

29,860 or above0%

29,870 or above0%

29,880 or above0%

29,890 or above0%

29,900 or above0%

29,910 or above0%

29,920 or above0%

29,930 or above0%

29,940 or above0%

29,950 or above0%

29,960 or above0%

29,970 or above0%

29,980 or above0%

29,990 or above0%

30,000 or above0%

30,010 or above0%

30,020 or above0%

30,030 or above0%

30,040 or above0%

30,050 or above0%

30,060 or above0%

30,070 or above0%

30,080 or above0%

30,090 or above0%

30,100 or above0%

30,110 or above0%

30,120 or above0%

30,130 or above0%

30,140 or above0%

30,150 or above0%

30,160 or above0%

30,170 or above0%

30,180 or above0%

30,210 or above0%

30,220 or above0%

30,230 or above0%

30,240 or above0%

30,250 or above0%

30,260 or above0%

30,270 or above0%

30,280 or above0%

30,290 or above0%

30,300 or above0%

30,310 or above0%

30,320 or above0%

30,330 or above0%

30,340 or above0%

30,350 or above0%

30,360 or above0%

30,370 or above0%

30,380 or above0%

30,390 or above0%

30,420 or above0%

30,440 or above0%

30,450 or above0%

30,460 or above0%

30,470 or above0%

30,480 or above0%

30,490 or above0%

30,500 or above0%

30,510 or above0%

30,520 or above0%

31,110 or above0%

31,120 or above0%

31,130 or above0%

31,140 or above0%

31,150 or above0%

31,160 or above0%

31,170 or above0%

31,180 or above0%

31,200 or above0%

31,210 or above0%

31,220 or above0%

31,230 or above0%

31,270 or above0%

31,280 or above0%

31,300 or above0%

31,320 or above0%

31,330 or above0%

31,340 or above0%

31,350 or above0%

31,370 or above0%

31,410 or above0%

31,420 or above0%

31,430 or above0%

31,440 or above0%

31,450 or above0%

31,460 or above0%

31,470 or above0%

31,480 or above0%

31,490 or above0%

31,500 or above0%

31,510 or above0%

31,520 or above0%

31,530 or above0%

31,540 or above0%

31,550 or above0%

31,560 or above0%

31,570 or above0%

31,580 or above0%

31,590 or above0%

31,600 or above0%

31,610 or above0%

31,620 or above0%

31,630 or above0%

31,640 or above0%

31,650 or above0%

31,660 or above0%

31,670 or above0%

31,680 or above0%

31,690 or above0%

31,700 or above0%

31,710 or above0%

31,720 or above0%

31,730 or above0%

31,740 or above0%

31,750 or above0%

31,760 or above0%

31,770 or above0%

31,780 or above0%

31,790 or above0%

31,800 or above0%

31,810 or above0%

31,820 or above0%

31,830 or above0%

31,840 or above0%

31,850 or above0%

31,860 or above0%

31,870 or above0%

31,880 or above0%

31,890 or above0%

31,900 or above0%

31,910 or above0%

31,920 or above0%

31,930 or above0%

31,940 or above0%

31,950 or above0%

31,960 or above0%

31,970 or above0%

31,980 or above0%

31,990 or above0%

32,000 or above0%

32,010 or above0%

32,020 or above0%

32,030 or above0%

32,040 or above0%

32,050 or above0%

32,060 or above0%

32,070 or above0%

32,080 or above0%

32,090 or above0%

32,100 or above0%

32,110 or above0%

32,120 or above0%

32,130 or above0%

32,140 or above0%

32,150 or above0%

32,160 or above0%

32,170 or above0%

32,180 or above0%

32,190 or above0%

32,200 or above0%

32,210 or above0%

32,220 or above0%

32,230 or above0%

32,240 or above0%

32,250 or above0%

32,260 or above0%

32,270 or above0%

32,280 or above0%

32,290 or above0%

32,300 or above0%

32,310 or above0%

32,320 or above0%

32,330 or above0%

32,340 or above0%

32,350 or above0%

32,360 or above0%

32,370 or above0%

32,380 or above0%

32,390 or above0%

32,400 or above0%

32,410 or above0%

32,420 or above0%

32,430 or above0%

32,440 or above0%

32,450 or above0%

32,460 or above0%

32,470 or above0%

32,480 or above0%

32,490 or above0%

32,500 or above0%

32,510 or above0%

32,520 or above0%

32,530 or above0%

32,540 or above0%

32,550 or above0%

32,560 or above0%

32,570 or above0%

32,580 or above0%

32,590 or above0%

32,600 or above0%

32,610 or above0%

32,620 or above0%

32,630 or above0%

32,640 or above0%

32,650 or above0%

32,660 or above0%

32,670 or above0%

32,680 or above0%

32,690 or above0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2552%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,513). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, 30,190 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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