Odds boards / Economics

Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 28, 2026 at 10am EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 400 outcomesMultiple can happen

▼75Biggest move: 30,630 or above down to 1% recently.

30,060 or above98%

30,190 or above95%

30,200 or above95%

30,070 or above92%

30,080 or above91%

30,090 or above90%

30,100 or above89%

30,110 or above87%

30,120 or above86%

30,130 or above85%

30,140 or above84%

30,150 or above81%

30,160 or above80%

30,170 or above77%

30,180 or above75%

30,230 or above75%

30,320 or above75%

30,330 or above75%

30,240 or above73%

30,210 or above72%

30,290 or above72%

30,220 or above71%

30,250 or above71%

30,340 or above66%

30,360 or above66%

30,350 or above65%

30,260 or above63%

30,370 or above63%

30,300 or above61%

30,380 or above60%

30,310 or above55%

30,390 or above55%

30,270 or above54%

30,280 or above52%

30,400 or above50%

30,480 or above48%

30,660 or above36%

30,410 or above31%

30,420 or above29%

30,430 or above29%

30,570 or above29%

30,460 or above27%

30,440 or above26%

30,450 or above24%

30,470 or above24%

30,760 or above24%

32,000 or above20%

30,510 or above19%

30,520 or above18%

30,500 or above14%

30,650 or above12%

30,540 or above11%

30,530 or above10%

30,550 or above8%

30,590 or above7%

30,900 or above6%

30,670 or above5%

30,920 or above5%

30,600 or above4%

30,980 or above4%

31,010 or above3%

30,610 or above1%

30,630 or above▼751%

31,080 or above1%

32,030 or above▼291%

32,040 or above▼191%

28,400 or above0%

28,410 or above0%

28,420 or above0%

28,430 or above0%

28,440 or above0%

28,450 or above0%

28,460 or above0%

28,470 or above0%

28,480 or above0%

28,490 or above0%

28,500 or above0%

28,510 or above0%

28,520 or above0%

28,530 or above0%

28,540 or above0%

28,550 or above0%

28,560 or above0%

28,570 or above0%

28,580 or above0%

28,590 or above0%

28,600 or above0%

28,610 or above0%

28,620 or above0%

28,630 or above0%

28,640 or above0%

28,650 or above0%

28,660 or above0%

28,670 or above0%

28,680 or above0%

28,690 or above0%

28,700 or above0%

28,710 or above0%

28,720 or above0%

28,730 or above0%

28,740 or above0%

28,750 or above0%

28,760 or above0%

28,770 or above0%

28,780 or above0%

28,790 or above0%

28,800 or above0%

28,810 or above0%

28,820 or above0%

28,830 or above0%

28,840 or above0%

28,850 or above0%

28,860 or above0%

28,870 or above0%

28,880 or above0%

28,890 or above0%

28,900 or above0%

28,910 or above0%

28,920 or above0%

28,930 or above0%

28,940 or above0%

28,950 or above0%

28,960 or above0%

28,970 or above0%

28,980 or above0%

28,990 or above0%

29,000 or above0%

29,010 or above0%

29,020 or above0%

29,030 or above0%

29,040 or above0%

29,050 or above0%

29,060 or above0%

29,070 or above0%

29,080 or above0%

29,090 or above0%

29,100 or above0%

29,110 or above0%

29,120 or above0%

29,130 or above0%

29,140 or above0%

29,150 or above0%

29,160 or above0%

29,170 or above0%

29,180 or above0%

29,190 or above0%

29,200 or above0%

29,210 or above0%

29,220 or above0%

29,230 or above0%

29,240 or above0%

29,250 or above0%

29,260 or above0%

29,270 or above0%

29,280 or above0%

29,290 or above0%

29,300 or above0%

29,310 or above0%

29,320 or above0%

29,330 or above0%

29,340 or above0%

29,350 or above0%

29,360 or above0%

29,370 or above0%

29,380 or above0%

29,390 or above0%

29,400 or above0%

29,410 or above0%

29,420 or above0%

29,430 or above0%

29,440 or above0%

29,450 or above0%

29,460 or above0%

29,470 or above0%

29,480 or above0%

29,490 or above0%

29,500 or above0%

29,510 or above0%

29,520 or above0%

29,530 or above0%

29,540 or above0%

29,550 or above0%

29,560 or above0%

29,570 or above0%

29,580 or above0%

29,590 or above0%

29,600 or above0%

29,610 or above0%

29,620 or above0%

29,630 or above0%

29,640 or above0%

29,650 or above0%

29,660 or above0%

29,670 or above0%

29,680 or above0%

29,690 or above0%

29,700 or above0%

29,710 or above0%

29,720 or above0%

29,730 or above0%

29,740 or above0%

29,750 or above0%

29,760 or above0%

29,770 or above0%

29,780 or above0%

29,790 or above0%

29,800 or above0%

29,810 or above0%

29,820 or above0%

29,830 or above0%

29,840 or above0%

29,850 or above0%

29,860 or above0%

29,870 or above0%

29,880 or above0%

29,890 or above0%

29,900 or above0%

29,910 or above0%

29,920 or above0%

29,930 or above0%

29,940 or above0%

29,950 or above0%

29,960 or above0%

29,970 or above0%

29,980 or above0%

29,990 or above0%

30,000 or above0%

30,010 or above0%

30,020 or above0%

30,030 or above0%

30,040 or above0%

30,050 or above0%

30,490 or above0%

30,560 or above0%

30,580 or above0%

30,620 or above0%

30,640 or above0%

30,680 or above0%

30,690 or above0%

30,700 or above0%

30,710 or above0%

30,720 or above0%

30,730 or above0%

30,740 or above0%

30,750 or above0%

30,770 or above0%

30,780 or above0%

30,790 or above0%

30,800 or above0%

30,810 or above0%

30,820 or above0%

30,830 or above0%

30,840 or above0%

30,850 or above0%

30,860 or above0%

30,870 or above0%

30,880 or above0%

30,890 or above0%

30,910 or above0%

30,930 or above0%

30,940 or above0%

30,950 or above0%

30,960 or above0%

30,970 or above0%

30,990 or above0%

31,000 or above0%

31,020 or above0%

31,030 or above0%

31,040 or above0%

31,050 or above0%

31,060 or above0%

31,070 or above0%

31,090 or above0%

31,100 or above0%

31,110 or above0%

31,120 or above0%

31,130 or above0%

31,140 or above0%

31,150 or above0%

31,160 or above0%

31,170 or above0%

31,180 or above0%

31,190 or above0%

31,200 or above0%

31,210 or above0%

31,220 or above0%

31,230 or above0%

31,240 or above0%

31,250 or above0%

31,260 or above0%

31,270 or above0%

31,280 or above0%

31,290 or above0%

31,300 or above0%

31,310 or above0%

31,320 or above0%

31,330 or above0%

31,340 or above0%

31,350 or above0%

31,360 or above0%

31,370 or above0%

31,380 or above0%

31,390 or above0%

31,400 or above0%

31,410 or above0%

31,420 or above0%

31,430 or above0%

31,440 or above0%

31,450 or above0%

31,460 or above0%

31,470 or above0%

31,480 or above0%

31,490 or above0%

31,500 or above0%

31,510 or above0%

31,520 or above0%

31,530 or above0%

31,540 or above0%

31,550 or above0%

31,560 or above0%

31,570 or above0%

31,580 or above0%

31,590 or above0%

31,600 or above0%

31,610 or above0%

31,620 or above0%

31,630 or above0%

31,640 or above0%

31,650 or above0%

31,660 or above0%

31,670 or above0%

31,680 or above0%

31,690 or above0%

31,700 or above0%

31,710 or above0%

31,720 or above0%

31,730 or above0%

31,740 or above0%

31,750 or above0%

31,760 or above0%

31,770 or above0%

31,780 or above0%

31,790 or above0%

31,800 or above0%

31,810 or above0%

31,820 or above0%

31,830 or above0%

31,840 or above0%

31,850 or above0%

31,860 or above0%

31,870 or above0%

31,880 or above0%

31,890 or above0%

31,900 or above0%

31,910 or above0%

31,920 or above0%

31,930 or above0%

31,940 or above0%

31,950 or above0%

31,960 or above0%

31,970 or above0%

31,980 or above0%

31,990 or above0%

32,010 or above0%

32,020 or above0%

32,050 or above0%

32,060 or above0%

32,070 or above0%

32,080 or above0%

32,090 or above0%

32,100 or above0%

32,110 or above0%

32,120 or above0%

32,130 or above0%

32,140 or above0%

32,150 or above0%

32,160 or above0%

32,170 or above0%

32,180 or above0%

32,190 or above0%

32,200 or above0%

32,210 or above0%

32,220 or above0%

32,230 or above0%

32,240 or above0%

32,250 or above0%

32,260 or above0%

32,270 or above0%

32,280 or above0%

32,290 or above0%

32,300 or above0%

32,310 or above0%

32,320 or above0%

32,330 or above0%

32,340 or above0%

32,350 or above0%

32,360 or above0%

32,370 or above0%

32,380 or above0%

32,390 or above0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 3077%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be overcharging for this

KALSHI CHARGES

98¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

83¢

AFTER THE 1¢ FEE

-14¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES only 83.3% of the time, and the crowd is charging 98c. Based on 48 settled economics markets in the 90-99c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the economics curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,414). The price implies 98%, so historically this band has come in about 4 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, 30,060 or above at 98¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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