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Odds boards / Economics

Natural gas price on October 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 60 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲41Biggest move: Above $3.040 up to 81% recently.
1
Above $2.850▲199%
2
Above $2.855▲399%
3
Above $2.87599%
4
Above $2.89599%
5
Above $2.930▲1499%
6
Above $2.980▲2899%
7
Above $2.98599%
8
Above $2.86098%
9
Above $2.86598%
10
Above $2.95598%
11
Above $2.97598%
12
Above $2.96596%
13
Above $2.99096%
14
Above $2.960▲1695%
15
Above $3.010▲3993%
16
Above $2.94092%
17
Above $2.995▲2692%
18
Above $3.015▲4091%
19
Above $3.020▲3991%
20
Above $2.945▲2090%
21
Above $3▲2690%
22
Above $3.005▲2688%
23
Above $2.97084%
24
Above $3.025▲3983%
25
Above $3.040▲4181%
26
Above $3.030▲2775%
27
Above $3.04574%
28
Above $3.035▲2673%
29
Above $3.05557%
30
Above $3.05052%
31
Above $3.07049%
32
Above $3.060▼136%
33
Above $3.07527%
34
Above $3.06523%
35
Above $3.09019%
36
Above $3.08013%
37
Above $3.08513%
38
Above $3.09511%
39
Above $3.10011%
40
Above $3.10510%
41
Above $3.1109%
42
Above $3.1158%
43
Above $3.1204%
44
Above $3.1254%
45
Above $3.1404%
46
Above $3.1303%
47
Above $3.145▼82%
48
Above $2.8700%
49
Above $2.8800%
50
Above $2.8850%
51
Above $2.8900%
52
Above $2.9000%
53
Above $2.9050%
54
Above $2.9100%
55
Above $2.9150%
56
Above $2.9200%
57
Above $2.9250%
58
Above $2.9350%
59
Above $2.9500%
60
Above $3.1350%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2924%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,480). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $2.850 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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