Odds boards / Economics

Natural gas price on Oct 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 90 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above $3.09099%
2
Above $3.13098%
3
Above $3.15098%
4
Above $3.14597%
5
Above $3.16097%
6
Above $3.15596%
7
Above $3.16596%
8
Above $3.11595%
9
Above $3.12095%
10
Above $3.13595%
11
Above $3.12594%
12
Above $3.19593%
13
Above $3.07091%
14
Above $3.19091%
15
Above $3.20090%
16
Above $3.20583%
17
Above $3.10077%
18
Above $3.24068%
19
Above $3.24567%
20
Above $3.29032%
21
Above $3.28530%
22
Above $2.8500%
23
Above $2.8550%
24
Above $2.8600%
25
Above $2.8650%
26
Above $2.8700%
27
Above $2.8750%
28
Above $2.8800%
29
Above $2.8850%
30
Above $2.8900%
31
Above $2.8950%
32
Above $2.9000%
33
Above $2.9050%
34
Above $2.9100%
35
Above $2.9150%
36
Above $2.9200%
37
Above $2.9250%
38
Above $2.9300%
39
Above $2.9350%
40
Above $2.9400%
41
Above $2.9450%
42
Above $2.9500%
43
Above $2.9550%
44
Above $2.9600%
45
Above $2.9650%
46
Above $2.9700%
47
Above $2.9750%
48
Above $2.9800%
49
Above $2.9850%
50
Above $2.9900%
51
Above $2.9950%
52
Above $30%
53
Above $3.0050%
54
Above $3.0100%
55
Above $3.0150%
56
Above $3.0200%
57
Above $3.0250%
58
Above $3.0300%
59
Above $3.0350%
60
Above $3.0400%
61
Above $3.0450%
62
Above $3.0500%
63
Above $3.0550%
64
Above $3.0600%
65
Above $3.0650%
66
Above $3.0750%
67
Above $3.0800%
68
Above $3.0850%
69
Above $3.0950%
70
Above $3.1050%
71
Above $3.1100%
72
Above $3.1400%
73
Above $3.1700%
74
Above $3.1750%
75
Above $3.1800%
76
Above $3.1850%
77
Above $3.2100%
78
Above $3.2150%
79
Above $3.2200%
80
Above $3.2250%
81
Above $3.2300%
82
Above $3.2350%
83
Above $3.2500%
84
Above $3.2550%
85
Above $3.2600%
86
Above $3.2650%
87
Above $3.2700%
88
Above $3.2750%
89
Above $3.2800%
90
Above $3.2950%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1782%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,542). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $3.090 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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