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Odds boards / Economics

Natural gas price on October 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 40 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲14Biggest move: Above $3.099 up to 46% recently.
1
Above $2.19999%
2
Above $2.79991%
3
Above $2.899▲681%
4
Above $2.999▲1265%
5
Above $3.099▲1446%
6
Above $3.19921%
7
Above $3.39917%
8
Above $3.299▲715%
9
Above $0.9990%
10
Above $1.0990%
11
Above $1.1990%
12
Above $1.2990%
13
Above $1.3990%
14
Above $1.4990%
15
Above $1.5990%
16
Above $1.6990%
17
Above $1.7990%
18
Above $1.8990%
19
Above $1.9990%
20
Above $2.0990%
21
Above $2.2990%
22
Above $2.3990%
23
Above $2.4990%
24
Above $2.5990%
25
Above $2.6990%
26
Above $3.4990%
27
Above $3.5990%
28
Above $3.6990%
29
Above $3.7990%
30
Above $3.8990%
31
Above $3.9990%
32
Above $4.0990%
33
Above $4.1990%
34
Above $4.2990%
35
Above $4.3990%
36
Above $4.4990%
37
Above $4.5990%
38
Above $4.6990%
39
Above $4.7990%
40
Above $4.8990%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 435%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,480). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $2.199 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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