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Odds boards / Economics

Natural gas price on September 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 40 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above $0.99999%
2
Above $1.09999%
3
Above $1.19999%
4
Above $1.29999%
5
Above $1.39999%
6
Above $1.49999%
7
Above $1.59999%
8
Above $1.69999%
9
Above $1.79999%
10
Above $1.89999%
11
Above $1.99999%
12
Above $2.09999%
13
Above $2.19999%
14
Above $2.29999%
15
Above $2.49999%
16
Above $2.59996%
17
Above $2.39994%
18
Above $2.69992%
19
Above $2.89960%
20
Above $2.99935%
21
Above $3.09916%
22
Above $2.7990%
23
Above $3.1990%
24
Above $3.2990%
25
Above $3.3990%
26
Above $3.4990%
27
Above $3.5990%
28
Above $3.6990%
29
Above $3.7990%
30
Above $3.8990%
31
Above $3.9990%
32
Above $4.0990%
33
Above $4.1990%
34
Above $4.2990%
35
Above $4.3990%
36
Above $4.4990%
37
Above $4.5990%
38
Above $4.6990%
39
Above $4.7990%
40
Above $4.8990%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1878%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $0.999 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXNATGASW-26SEP1817">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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