ContractTax
DashboardMarketsEdgeCombosTaxes
☆
Odds boards / Sports

Miami vs Golden State: Points

Live Kalshi odds · 46 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Yaxel Lendeborg: 10+97%
2
Bam Adebayo: 10+96%
3
Giannis Antetokounmpo: 20+93%
4
Bam Adebayo: 15+88%
5
Davion Mitchell: 10+88%
6
Yaxel Lendeborg: 15+84%
7
Stephen Curry: 20+81%
8
Brandin Podziemski: 10+81%
9
Giannis Antetokounmpo: 25+79%
10
Pelle Larsson: 10+72%
11
Will Richard: 10+70%
12
Brandin Podziemski: 15+57%
13
Stephen Curry: 25+55%
14
Bam Adebayo: 20+54%
15
Yaxel Lendeborg: 20+53%
16
Andrew Wiggins: 10+51%
17
Giannis Antetokounmpo: 30+50%
18
Davion Mitchell: 15+50%
19
Georges Niang: 10+42%
20
Klay Thompson: 10+40%
21
Bobby Portis: 10+39%
22
De'Anthony Melton: 10+34%
23
Stephen Curry: 30+29%
24
Brandin Podziemski: 20+29%
25
Pelle Larsson: 15+29%
26
Giannis Antetokounmpo: 35+26%
27
Bam Adebayo: 25+25%
28
Yaxel Lendeborg: 25+24%
29
Will Richard: 15+22%
30
Andrew Wiggins: 15+21%
31
Giannis Antetokounmpo: 40+17%
32
Davion Mitchell: 20+17%
33
Stephen Curry: 35+16%
34
De'Anthony Melton: 15+16%
35
Georges Niang: 15+16%
36
Draymond Green: 10+14%
37
Klay Thompson: 15+14%
38
Bobby Portis: 15+14%
39
Yaxel Lendeborg: 30+12%
40
Bam Adebayo: 30+11%
41
Brandin Podziemski: 25+8%
42
Klay Thompson: 20+8%
43
Pelle Larsson: 20+8%
44
De'Anthony Melton: 20+7%
45
Andrew Wiggins: 20+6%
46
Draymond Green: 15+5%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1848%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
97¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
95¢
AFTER THE 1¢ FEE
-1¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 94.6% of the time, and the crowd is charging 97c. Based on 1,489 settled sports markets in the 90-99c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,791). The price implies 97%, so historically this band has come in about 3 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Yaxel Lendeborg: 10+ at 97¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/event/KXNBAPTS-26NOV05MIAGSW" width="360" height="240" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Miami vs Golden State: Points - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXNBAPTS-26NOV05MIAGSW">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.

Odds update every few minutes. See more live boards on the odds boards hub or single-market live odds.