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Odds boards / Sports

Miami vs Los Angeles L: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 33 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Los Angeles L wins by over 1.5 points68%
2
Los Angeles L wins by over 2.5 points63%
3
Los Angeles L wins by over 3.5 points59%
4
Los Angeles L wins by over 4.5 points53%
5
Los Angeles L wins by over 5.5 points49%
6
Los Angeles L wins by over 6.5 points44%
7
Los Angeles L wins by over 7.5 points41%
8
Los Angeles L wins by over 9.5 points34%
9
Miami wins by over 1.5 points29%
10
Los Angeles L wins by over 11.5 points25%
11
Miami wins by over 2.5 points24%
12
Los Angeles L wins by over 13.5 points20%
13
Miami wins by over 3.5 points20%
14
Miami wins by over 4.5 points17%
15
Los Angeles L wins by over 15.5 points15%
16
Miami wins by over 5.5 points15%
17
Miami wins by over 6.5 points12%
18
Los Angeles L wins by over 17.5 points11%
19
Miami wins by over 8.5 points9%
20
Los Angeles L wins by over 19.5 points7%
21
Miami wins by over 10.5 points6%
22
Los Angeles L wins by over 21.5 points5%
23
Los Angeles L wins by over 23.5 points4%
24
Los Angeles L wins by over 25.5 points3%
25
Miami wins by over 12.5 points3%
26
Miami wins by over 14.5 points3%
27
Los Angeles L wins by over 27.5 points2%
28
Miami wins by over 16.5 points1%
29
Miami wins by over 18.5 points1%
30
Miami wins by over 20.5 points1%
31
Miami wins by over 22.5 points1%
32
Miami wins by over 24.5 points1%
33
Miami wins by over 26.5 points1%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 647%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
Priced about right
KALSHI CHARGES
68¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
68¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 68.2% of the time against a 68c price, which is close enough to fair that the 2c fee eats whatever is left. Based on 1,933 settled sports markets in the 60-69c band, priced about a day before their events.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 60–69¢ have gone on to settle YES 66% of the time (n=2,779). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Los Angeles L wins by over 1.5 points at 68¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXNBASPREAD-26NOV02MIALAL">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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