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Odds boards / Sports

Washington vs Orlando: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 33 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Orlando wins by over 1.5 points52%
2
Orlando wins by over 2.5 points48%
3
Orlando wins by over 3.5 points44%
4
Washington wins by over 1.5 points43%
5
Orlando wins by over 4.5 points41%
6
Washington wins by over 2.5 points41%
7
Orlando wins by over 5.5 points38%
8
Washington wins by over 4.5 points36%
9
Orlando wins by over 6.5 points35%
10
Orlando wins by over 7.5 points33%
11
Washington wins by over 6.5 points31%
12
Orlando wins by over 9.5 points29%
13
Washington wins by over 8.5 points24%
14
Orlando wins by over 11.5 points21%
15
Orlando wins by over 15.5 points15%
16
Orlando wins by over 17.5 points12%
17
Orlando wins by over 19.5 points10%
18
Orlando wins by over 21.5 points8%
19
Orlando wins by over 25.5 points6%
20
Orlando wins by over 23.5 points6%
21
Orlando wins by over 27.5 points0%
22
Orlando wins by over 13.5 points0%
23
Washington wins by over 3.5 points0%
24
Washington wins by over 5.5 points0%
25
Washington wins by over 10.5 points0%
26
Washington wins by over 12.5 points0%
27
Washington wins by over 14.5 points0%
28
Washington wins by over 16.5 points0%
29
Washington wins by over 18.5 points0%
30
Washington wins by over 20.5 points0%
31
Washington wins by over 22.5 points0%
32
Washington wins by over 24.5 points0%
33
Washington wins by over 26.5 points0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 573%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
52¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
56¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+2¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 56.3% of the time, and the crowd is charging 52c. Based on 2,779 settled sports markets in the 50-59c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 2c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 50–59¢ have gone on to settle YES 56% of the time (n=3,944). The price implies 52%, so historically this band has come in about 4 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Orlando wins by over 1.5 points at 52¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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