How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. More than one outcome can occur in this event, so the prices are independent and do not sum to 100%.

Odds boards / Sports

Indiana vs Memphis: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 33 outcomesMultiple can happen

Memphis wins by over 1.5 points69%

Memphis wins by over 3.5 points62%

Memphis wins by over 4.5 points59%

Memphis wins by over 5.5 points55%

Memphis wins by over 6.5 points50%

Memphis wins by over 7.5 points46%

Memphis wins by over 8.5 points44%

Memphis wins by over 9.5 points40%

Memphis wins by over 10.5 points36%

Memphis wins by over 11.5 points33%

Memphis wins by over 14.5 points26%

Indiana wins by over 3.5 points21%

Indiana wins by over 5.5 points20%

Memphis wins by over 18.5 points18%

Indiana wins by over 7.5 points17%

Memphis wins by over 20.5 points15%

Indiana wins by over 9.5 points11%

Memphis wins by over 24.5 points9%

Indiana wins by over 11.5 points8%

Memphis wins by over 22.5 points6%

Memphis wins by over 32.5 points0%

Memphis wins by over 30.5 points0%

Memphis wins by over 28.5 points0%

Memphis wins by over 26.5 points0%

Memphis wins by over 16.5 points0%

Memphis wins by over 12.5 points0%

Memphis wins by over 2.5 points0%

Indiana wins by over 1.5 points0%

Indiana wins by over 13.5 points0%

Indiana wins by over 15.5 points0%

Indiana wins by over 17.5 points0%

Indiana wins by over 19.5 points0%

Indiana wins by over 21.5 points0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 645%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

Priced about right

KALSHI CHARGES

69¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

68¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 68.4% of the time against a 69c price, which is close enough to fair that the 2c fee eats whatever is left. Based on 1,950 settled sports markets in the 60-69c band, priced about a day before their events.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 60–69¢ have gone on to settle YES 66% of the time (n=2,801). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, Memphis wins by over 1.5 points at 69¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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