Odds boards / Sports

Milwaukee vs Boston: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 33 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Boston wins by over 2.5 points78%
2
Boston wins by over 4.5 points74%
3
Boston wins by over 6.5 points69%
4
Boston wins by over 8.5 points62%
5
Boston wins by over 9.5 points59%
6
Boston wins by over 10.5 points55%
7
Boston wins by over 11.5 points52%
8
Boston wins by over 12.5 points45%
9
Boston wins by over 14.5 points41%
10
Boston wins by over 13.5 points41%
11
Boston wins by over 15.5 points38%
12
Boston wins by over 17.5 points33%
13
Boston wins by over 20.5 points24%
14
Boston wins by over 22.5 points20%
15
Boston wins by over 24.5 points16%
16
Boston wins by over 18.5 points15%
17
Milwaukee wins by over 5.5 points14%
18
Boston wins by over 26.5 points13%
19
Boston wins by over 28.5 points10%
20
Boston wins by over 30.5 points8%
21
Milwaukee wins by over 3.5 points8%
22
Milwaukee wins by over 7.5 points6%
23
Boston wins by over 34.5 points4%
24
Milwaukee wins by over 11.5 points1%
25
Boston wins by over 40.5 points0%
26
Boston wins by over 38.5 points0%
27
Boston wins by over 36.5 points0%
28
Boston wins by over 32.5 points0%
29
Boston wins by over 19.5 points0%
30
Boston wins by over 16.5 points0%
31
Boston wins by over 1.5 points0%
32
Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 points0%
33
Milwaukee wins by over 9.5 points0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 786%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
Priced about right
KALSHI CHARGES
78¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
78¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 77.7% of the time against a 78c price, which is close enough to fair that the 2c fee eats whatever is left. Based on 1,600 settled sports markets in the 70-79c band, priced about a day before their events.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 70–79¢ have gone on to settle YES 76% of the time (n=2,079). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Boston wins by over 2.5 points at 78¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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