How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. More than one outcome can occur in this event, so the prices are independent and do not sum to 100%.

Odds boards / Sports

Denver vs Houston: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 33 outcomesMultiple can happen

Houston wins by over 1.5 points74%

Houston wins by over 4.5 points66%

Houston wins by over 3.5 points66%

Houston wins by over 5.5 points63%

Houston wins by over 6.5 points60%

Houston wins by over 7.5 points54%

Houston wins by over 8.5 points51%

Houston wins by over 9.5 points48%

Houston wins by over 10.5 points43%

Denver wins by over 1.5 points23%

Denver wins by over 2.5 points19%

Houston wins by over 20.5 points18%

Denver wins by over 3.5 points16%

Denver wins by over 5.5 points15%

Houston wins by over 28.5 points7%

Denver wins by over 13.5 points6%

Houston wins by over 30.5 points0%

Houston wins by over 26.5 points0%

Houston wins by over 24.5 points0%

Houston wins by over 22.5 points0%

Houston wins by over 18.5 points0%

Houston wins by over 16.5 points0%

Houston wins by over 14.5 points0%

Houston wins by over 12.5 points0%

Houston wins by over 2.5 points0%

Denver wins by over 7.5 points0%

Denver wins by over 9.5 points0%

Denver wins by over 11.5 points0%

Denver wins by over 15.5 points0%

Denver wins by over 17.5 points0%

Denver wins by over 19.5 points0%

Denver wins by over 21.5 points0%

Denver wins by over 23.5 points0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 629%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be underpricing this

KALSHI CHARGES

74¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

78¢

AFTER THE 2¢ FEE

+2¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 77.8% of the time, and the crowd is charging 74c. Based on 1,638 settled sports markets in the 70-79c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 2c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 70–79¢ have gone on to settle YES 77% of the time (n=2,120). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, Houston wins by over 1.5 points at 74¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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