Odds boards / Sports

San Antonio vs Phoenix: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 33 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
San Antonio wins by over 1.5 points75%
2
San Antonio wins by over 2.5 points72%
3
San Antonio wins by over 3.5 points70%
4
San Antonio wins by over 4.5 points65%
5
San Antonio wins by over 5.5 points63%
6
San Antonio wins by over 6.5 points58%
7
San Antonio wins by over 7.5 points55%
8
San Antonio wins by over 8.5 points52%
9
San Antonio wins by over 9.5 points48%
10
San Antonio wins by over 10.5 points43%
11
San Antonio wins by over 12.5 points38%
12
San Antonio wins by over 13.5 points35%
13
San Antonio wins by over 19.5 points19%
14
Phoenix wins by over 6.5 points14%
15
San Antonio wins by over 27.5 points7%
16
San Antonio wins by over 31.5 points6%
17
Phoenix wins by over 18.5 points0%
18
Phoenix wins by over 16.5 points0%
19
Phoenix wins by over 14.5 points0%
20
Phoenix wins by over 12.5 points0%
21
Phoenix wins by over 10.5 points0%
22
Phoenix wins by over 8.5 points0%
23
Phoenix wins by over 4.5 points0%
24
Phoenix wins by over 2.5 points0%
25
Phoenix wins by over 1.5 points0%
26
San Antonio wins by over 11.5 points0%
27
San Antonio wins by over 15.5 points0%
28
San Antonio wins by over 17.5 points0%
29
San Antonio wins by over 21.5 points0%
30
San Antonio wins by over 23.5 points0%
31
San Antonio wins by over 25.5 points0%
32
San Antonio wins by over 29.5 points0%
33
San Antonio wins by over 33.5 points0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 720%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
75¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
78¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+1¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 77.8% of the time, and the crowd is charging 75c. Based on 1,638 settled sports markets in the 70-79c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 1c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 70–79¢ have gone on to settle YES 77% of the time (n=2,120). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, San Antonio wins by over 1.5 points at 75¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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