Odds boards / Sports

Boston vs Philadelphia: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 33 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points50%
2
Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 points49%
3
Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points45%
4
Boston wins by over 6.5 points35%
5
Boston wins by over 12.5 points30%
6
Philadelphia wins by over 27.5 points0%
7
Philadelphia wins by over 25.5 points0%
8
Philadelphia wins by over 23.5 points0%
9
Philadelphia wins by over 21.5 points0%
10
Philadelphia wins by over 19.5 points0%
11
Philadelphia wins by over 17.5 points0%
12
Philadelphia wins by over 15.5 points0%
13
Philadelphia wins by over 13.5 points0%
14
Philadelphia wins by over 11.5 points0%
15
Philadelphia wins by over 9.5 points0%
16
Philadelphia wins by over 7.5 points0%
17
Philadelphia wins by over 6.5 points0%
18
Philadelphia wins by over 5.5 points0%
19
Philadelphia wins by over 4.5 points0%
20
Boston wins by over 1.5 points0%
21
Boston wins by over 2.5 points0%
22
Boston wins by over 3.5 points0%
23
Boston wins by over 4.5 points0%
24
Boston wins by over 5.5 points0%
25
Boston wins by over 8.5 points0%
26
Boston wins by over 10.5 points0%
27
Boston wins by over 14.5 points0%
28
Boston wins by over 16.5 points0%
29
Boston wins by over 18.5 points0%
30
Boston wins by over 20.5 points0%
31
Boston wins by over 22.5 points0%
32
Boston wins by over 24.5 points0%
33
Boston wins by over 26.5 points0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 209%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
50¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
57¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+5¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 56.7% of the time, and the crowd is charging 50c. Based on 2,890 settled sports markets in the 50-59c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 5c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 50–59¢ have gone on to settle YES 56% of the time (n=4,085). The price implies 50%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points at 50¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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