Odds boards / Sports

Denver vs Phoenix: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 33 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲18Biggest move: Denver wins by over 1.5 points up to 80% recently.
1
Denver wins by over 1.5 points▲1880%
2
Denver wins by over 2.5 points80%
3
Denver wins by over 3.5 points▲1570%
4
Denver wins by over 4.5 points▲1665%
5
Denver wins by over 5.5 points▲1155%
6
Denver wins by over 6.5 points▲647%
7
Denver wins by over 7.5 points46%
8
Denver wins by over 8.5 points37%
9
Denver wins by over 9.5 points34%
10
Denver wins by over 12.5 points32%
11
Denver wins by over 10.5 points25%
12
Denver wins by over 14.5 points▼713%
13
Phoenix wins by over 1.5 points11%
14
Denver wins by over 18.5 points9%
15
Phoenix wins by over 2.5 points7%
16
Denver wins by over 16.5 points7%
17
Phoenix wins by over 3.5 points6%
18
Phoenix wins by over 5.5 points3%
19
Denver wins by over 20.5 points3%
20
Denver wins by over 28.5 points2%
21
Phoenix wins by over 23.5 points1%
22
Phoenix wins by over 21.5 points1%
23
Phoenix wins by over 19.5 points1%
24
Phoenix wins by over 17.5 points1%
25
Phoenix wins by over 15.5 points1%
26
Phoenix wins by over 13.5 points1%
27
Phoenix wins by over 11.5 points1%
28
Phoenix wins by over 9.5 points1%
29
Phoenix wins by over 7.5 points1%
30
Denver wins by over 22.5 points1%
31
Denver wins by over 24.5 points1%
32
Denver wins by over 26.5 points1%
33
Denver wins by over 30.5 points1%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 645%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
80¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
87¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+5¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 87.0% of the time, and the crowd is charging 80c. Based on 1,278 settled sports markets in the 80-89c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 5c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 80–89¢ have gone on to settle YES 86% of the time (n=1,603). The price implies 80%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Denver wins by over 1.5 points at 80¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/event/KXNBASPREAD-26OCT30DENPHX" width="360" height="240" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Denver vs Phoenix: Spread - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXNBASPREAD-26OCT30DENPHX">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.

Odds update every few minutes. See more live boards on the odds boards hub or single-market live odds.