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Odds boards / Sports

Orlando vs Toronto: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 33 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼11Biggest move: Toronto wins by over 9.5 points down to 37% recently.
1
Toronto wins by over 1.5 points64%
2
Toronto wins by over 2.5 points61%
3
Toronto wins by over 3.5 points▼459%
4
Toronto wins by over 4.5 points55%
5
Toronto wins by over 5.5 points▼351%
6
Toronto wins by over 6.5 points46%
7
Toronto wins by over 8.5 points▼941%
8
Toronto wins by over 7.5 points41%
9
Toronto wins by over 9.5 points▼1137%
10
Toronto wins by over 10.5 points33%
11
Orlando wins by over 2.5 points29%
12
Toronto wins by over 12.5 points28%
13
Toronto wins by over 14.5 points24%
14
Orlando wins by over 5.5 points21%
15
Toronto wins by over 16.5 points20%
16
Orlando wins by over 7.5 points18%
17
Toronto wins by over 18.5 points15%
18
Toronto wins by over 20.5 points14%
19
Orlando wins by over 9.5 points14%
20
Toronto wins by over 24.5 points8%
21
Orlando wins by over 15.5 points7%
22
Toronto wins by over 26.5 points6%
23
Orlando wins by over 13.5 points6%
24
Toronto wins by over 28.5 points5%
25
Toronto wins by over 30.5 points4%
26
Orlando wins by over 17.5 points3%
27
Orlando wins by over 19.5 points1%
28
Orlando wins by over 23.5 points1%
29
Toronto wins by over 22.5 points0%
30
Orlando wins by over 1.5 points0%
31
Orlando wins by over 3.5 points0%
32
Orlando wins by over 11.5 points0%
33
Orlando wins by over 21.5 points0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 712%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
64¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
68¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+2¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 68.3% of the time, and the crowd is charging 64c. Based on 1,890 settled sports markets in the 60-69c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 2c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 60–69¢ have gone on to settle YES 66% of the time (n=2,723). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Toronto wins by over 1.5 points at 64¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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