How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. More than one outcome can occur in this event, so the prices are independent and do not sum to 100%.

Odds boards / Sports

Oklahoma City vs Houston: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 33 outcomesMultiple can happen

Houston wins by over 1.5 points54%

Houston wins by over 2.5 points48%

Houston wins by over 3.5 points44%

Oklahoma City wins by over 1.5 points43%

Houston wins by over 4.5 points41%

Oklahoma City wins by over 2.5 points40%

Houston wins by over 9.5 points39%

Houston wins by over 5.5 points38%

Houston wins by over 6.5 points37%

Oklahoma City wins by over 3.5 points37%

Houston wins by over 7.5 points32%

Oklahoma City wins by over 5.5 points30%

Houston wins by over 8.5 points29%

Oklahoma City wins by over 7.5 points23%

Oklahoma City wins by over 9.5 points17%

Houston wins by over 16.5 points14%

Oklahoma City wins by over 11.5 points13%

Houston wins by over 20.5 points9%

Oklahoma City wins by over 17.5 points9%

Houston wins by over 22.5 points6%

Oklahoma City wins by over 15.5 points6%

Oklahoma City wins by over 19.5 points6%

Oklahoma City wins by over 23.5 points2%

Houston wins by over 30.5 points0%

Houston wins by over 28.5 points0%

Houston wins by over 26.5 points0%

Houston wins by over 24.5 points0%

Houston wins by over 18.5 points0%

Houston wins by over 14.5 points0%

Houston wins by over 12.5 points0%

Houston wins by over 10.5 points0%

Oklahoma City wins by over 13.5 points0%

Oklahoma City wins by over 21.5 points0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 617%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

Priced about right

KALSHI CHARGES

54¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

56¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 56.2% of the time against a 54c price, which is close enough to fair that the 2c fee eats whatever is left. Based on 2,743 settled sports markets in the 50-59c band, priced about a day before their events.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 50–59¢ have gone on to settle YES 56% of the time (n=3,902). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, Houston wins by over 1.5 points at 54¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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