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Cleveland vs Charlotte: Team Total

Live Kalshi odds · 38 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Cleveland over 105.5 points73%
2
Charlotte over 96.5 points68%
3
Cleveland over 109.5 points61%
4
Charlotte over 100.5 points58%
5
Cleveland over 111.5 points51%
6
Charlotte over 104.5 points46%
7
Cleveland over 119.5 points27%
8
Cleveland over 95.5 points0%
9
Cleveland over 97.5 points0%
10
Cleveland over 99.5 points0%
11
Cleveland over 101.5 points0%
12
Cleveland over 103.5 points0%
13
Cleveland over 107.5 points0%
14
Cleveland over 113.5 points0%
15
Cleveland over 115.5 points0%
16
Cleveland over 117.5 points0%
17
Cleveland over 121.5 points0%
18
Cleveland over 123.5 points0%
19
Cleveland over 125.5 points0%
20
Cleveland over 127.5 points0%
21
Cleveland over 129.5 points0%
22
Cleveland over 131.5 points0%
23
Charlotte over 86.5 points0%
24
Charlotte over 88.5 points0%
25
Charlotte over 90.5 points0%
26
Charlotte over 92.5 points0%
27
Charlotte over 94.5 points0%
28
Charlotte over 98.5 points0%
29
Charlotte over 102.5 points0%
30
Charlotte over 106.5 points0%
31
Charlotte over 108.5 points0%
32
Charlotte over 110.5 points0%
33
Charlotte over 112.5 points0%
34
Charlotte over 114.5 points0%
35
Charlotte over 116.5 points0%
36
Charlotte over 118.5 points0%
37
Charlotte over 120.5 points0%
38
Charlotte over 122.5 points0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 384%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
73¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
78¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+3¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 77.8% of the time, and the crowd is charging 73c. Based on 1,638 settled sports markets in the 70-79c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 3c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 70–79¢ have gone on to settle YES 77% of the time (n=2,120). The price implies 73%, so historically this band has come in about 4 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Cleveland over 105.5 points at 73¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26NOV09CLECHA">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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