Odds boards / Sports

Florida St. vs Alabama: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 27 outcomesMultiple can happen
3Biggest move: Alabama wins by over 11.5 points down to 69% recently.
1
Alabama wins by over 1.5 points191%
2
Alabama wins by over 2.5 points190%
3
Alabama wins by over 3.5 points187%
4
Alabama wins by over 4.5 points185%
5
Alabama wins by over 6.5 points83%
6
Alabama wins by over 5.5 points283%
7
Alabama wins by over 7.5 points277%
8
Alabama wins by over 9.5 points76%
9
Alabama wins by over 10.5 points172%
10
Alabama wins by over 11.5 points369%
11
Alabama wins by over 13.5 points166%
12
Alabama wins by over 14.5 points162%
13
Alabama wins by over 16.5 points59%
14
Alabama wins by over 17.5 points154%
15
Alabama wins by over 20.5 points147%
16
Alabama wins by over 21.5 points42%
17
Alabama wins by over 23.5 points140%
18
Alabama wins by over 24.5 points235%
19
Alabama wins by over 27.5 points129%
20
Alabama wins by over 30.5 points323%
21
Alabama wins by over 33.5 points119%
22
Alabama wins by over 35.5 points14%
23
Alabama wins by over 38.5 points211%
24
Florida St. wins by over 1.5 points28%
25
Florida St. wins by over 2.5 points7%
26
Florida St. wins by over 3.5 points24%
27
Florida St. wins by over 4.5 points14%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1337%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
91¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
93¢
AFTER THE 1¢ FEE
+1¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 93.1% of the time, and the crowd is charging 91c. Based on 552 settled sports markets in the 90-99c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 1c taker fee, that leaves about 1c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Alabama wins by over 1.5 points at 91¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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