Odds boards / Sports

Northwestern vs Indiana: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 24 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼63Biggest move: Indiana wins by over 13.5 points down to 8% recently.
1
Indiana wins by over 2.5 points▼2171%
2
Indiana wins by over 4.5 points▼1768%
3
Indiana wins by over 3.5 points▼1868%
4
Indiana wins by over 5.5 points▼2662%
5
Indiana wins by over 6.5 points▼3944%
6
Indiana wins by over 7.5 points▼3742%
7
Indiana wins by over 9.5 points▼5919%
8
Indiana wins by over 11.5 points▼5816%
9
Indiana wins by over 10.5 points▼5816%
10
Indiana wins by over 14.5 points▼588%
11
Indiana wins by over 13.5 points▼638%
12
Indiana wins by over 16.5 points▼594%
13
Indiana wins by over 17.5 points▼573%
14
Indiana wins by over 38.5 points▼102%
15
Indiana wins by over 24.5 points▼382%
16
Northwestern wins by over 3.5 points2%
17
Indiana wins by over 41.5 points▼71%
18
Indiana wins by over 35.5 points1%
19
Indiana wins by over 33.5 points▼201%
20
Indiana wins by over 30.5 points▼261%
21
Indiana wins by over 27.5 points▼341%
22
Indiana wins by over 23.5 points▼421%
23
Indiana wins by over 21.5 points▼461%
24
Indiana wins by over 20.5 points▼521%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 443%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
71¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
77¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+4¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 76.5% of the time, and the crowd is charging 71c. Based on 677 settled sports markets in the 70-79c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 4c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 70–79¢ have gone on to settle YES 75% of the time (n=946). The price implies 71%, so historically this band has come in about 4 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Indiana wins by over 2.5 points at 71¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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