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Top US Netflix Movie this week?

Live Kalshi odds · 12 outcomesOne winner
1
Why Did I Get Married Again?99%
2
The Whisper Man▼11%
3
The Secret Woman1%
4
The Angry Birds Movie 21%
5
Turning Point: Generation 9/111%
6
Facing El Chapo1%
7
Untold Raygun: Breaking Badly1%
8
Straight Outta Compton1%
9
9 to 51%
10
Ready or Not1%
11
Shark Tale1%
12
Those Who Wish Me Dead▼11%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 110%, a 10-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Why Did I Get Married Again? at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIE-26SEP14">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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