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Kansas City vs Denver: Receptions

Live Kalshi odds · 61 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲25Biggest move: Jonah Coleman: 2+ up to 81% recently.
1
Jonah Coleman: 2+▲2581%
2
Kenneth Walker III: 3+▲562%
3
Jonah Coleman: 3+57%
4
Evan Engram: 3+49%
5
Noah Gray: 2+48%
6
Xavier Worthy: 4+41%
7
Jonah Coleman: 4+40%
8
RJ Harvey: 4+▼738%
9
Rashee Rice: 6+37%
10
RJ Harvey: 2+33%
11
Xavier Worthy: 5+31%
12
Travis Kelce: 6+29%
13
Rashee Rice: 7+22%
14
Jonah Coleman: 6+13%
15
Jonah Coleman: 5+12%
16
Jonah Coleman: 7+8%
17
RJ Harvey: 3+5%
18
RJ Harvey: 5+0%
19
RJ Harvey: 6+0%
20
RJ Harvey: 7+0%
21
RJ Harvey: 8+0%
22
Kenneth Walker III: 2+0%
23
Kenneth Walker III: 4+0%
24
Kenneth Walker III: 5+0%
25
Kenneth Walker III: 6+0%
26
Kenneth Walker III: 7+0%
27
Kenneth Walker III: 8+0%
28
Evan Engram: 2+0%
29
Evan Engram: 4+0%
30
Evan Engram: 5+0%
31
Evan Engram: 6+0%
32
Evan Engram: 7+0%
33
Noah Gray: 3+0%
34
Noah Gray: 4+0%
35
Noah Gray: 5+0%
36
Emmett Johnson: 2+0%
37
Emmett Johnson: 3+0%
38
Emmett Johnson: 4+0%
39
Emmett Johnson: 5+0%
40
Xavier Worthy: 2+0%
41
Xavier Worthy: 3+0%
42
Xavier Worthy: 6+0%
43
Xavier Worthy: 7+0%
44
Xavier Worthy: 8+0%
45
Xavier Worthy: 9+0%
46
Rashee Rice: 2+0%
47
Rashee Rice: 3+0%
48
Rashee Rice: 4+0%
49
Rashee Rice: 5+0%
50
Rashee Rice: 8+0%
51
Rashee Rice: 9+0%
52
Rashee Rice: 10+0%
53
Rashee Rice: 11+0%
54
Travis Kelce: 2+0%
55
Travis Kelce: 3+0%
56
Travis Kelce: 4+0%
57
Travis Kelce: 5+0%
58
Travis Kelce: 7+0%
59
Travis Kelce: 8+0%
60
Travis Kelce: 9+0%
61
Travis Kelce: 10+0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 606%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
81¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
87¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+4¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 87.0% of the time, and the crowd is charging 81c. Based on 1,281 settled sports markets in the 80-89c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 4c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 80–89¢ have gone on to settle YES 86% of the time (n=1,606). The price implies 81%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Jonah Coleman: 2+ at 81¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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