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Buffalo vs Minnesota: Receiving Yards

Live Kalshi odds · 125 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲5Biggest move: Justin Jefferson: 50+ up to 77% recently.
1
Justin Jefferson: 30+▲190%
2
Justin Jefferson: 40+▲386%
3
Khalil Shakir: 15+84%
4
T.J. Hockenson: 20+82%
5
Jordan Addison: 15+81%
6
Dalton Kincaid: 15+79%
7
Khalil Shakir: 20+78%
8
DJ Moore: 25+78%
9
Jordan Addison: 20+▼277%
10
Justin Jefferson: 50+▲577%
11
Dalton Kincaid: 20+73%
12
Keon Coleman: 15+72%
13
T.J. Hockenson: 30+▲368%
14
Justin Jefferson: 60+▼168%
15
Dalton Kincaid: 25+66%
16
Jordan Addison: 30+65%
17
Khalil Shakir: 30+▲165%
18
Dalton Kincaid: 30+61%
19
Justin Jefferson: 70+60%
20
Keon Coleman: 20+60%
21
DJ Moore: 40+60%
22
Keon Coleman: 25+57%
23
T.J. Hockenson: 40+▼153%
24
Jordan Addison: 40+▼151%
25
Justin Jefferson: 80+51%
26
Ty Johnson: 15+51%
27
Khalil Shakir: 40+▼150%
28
DJ Moore: 50+49%
29
Keon Coleman: 30+▲248%
30
James Cook III: 10+▼248%
31
Dalton Kincaid: 40+▼146%
32
Aaron Jones Sr.: 10+43%
33
Dawson Knox: 10+▼243%
34
Ty Johnson: 20+43%
35
Dalton Kincaid: 45+▼441%
36
Justin Jefferson: 90+▼240%
37
Skyler Bell: 10+▲240%
38
Jordan Addison: 50+39%
39
T.J. Hockenson: 50+▼139%
40
DJ Moore: 60+38%
41
Khalil Shakir: 50+37%
42
Keon Coleman: 40+36%
43
James Cook III: 15+35%
44
Justin Jefferson: 100+34%
45
Dalton Kincaid: 50+34%
46
Ben Yurosek: 10+▼432%
47
Skyler Bell: 15+31%
48
Aaron Jones Sr.: 15+30%
49
T.J. Hockenson: 60+29%
50
Khalil Shakir: 60+28%
51
Ty Johnson: 30+27%
52
Justin Jefferson: 110+▼126%
53
Skyler Bell: 20+26%
54
James Cook III: 20+25%
55
Dawson Knox: 20+▲125%
56
Ben Yurosek: 15+24%
57
DJ Moore: 80+21%
58
Aaron Jones Sr.: 20+20%
59
T.J. Hockenson: 70+19%
60
Justin Jefferson: 120+19%
61
Khalil Shakir: 70+19%
62
Skyler Bell: 25+19%
63
Dawson Knox: 25+17%
64
Ben Yurosek: 20+17%
65
Skyler Bell: 30+16%
66
Justin Jefferson: 130+15%
67
Aaron Jones Sr.: 25+14%
68
Justin Jefferson: 140+▲113%
69
James Cook III: 30+13%
70
Dawson Knox: 30+12%
71
Dalton Kincaid: 80+▼511%
72
Keon Coleman: 90+10%
73
Aaron Jones Sr.: 30+10%
74
Skyler Bell: 40+▲110%
75
Ty Johnson: 50+10%
76
DJ Moore: 100+10%
77
Justin Jefferson: 150+9%
78
James Cook III: 40+9%
79
Jordan Addison: 100+8%
80
Justin Jefferson: 160+▼17%
81
Skyler Bell: 50+6%
82
Ty Johnson: 60+6%
83
Jordan Addison: 25+0%
84
Jordan Addison: 60+0%
85
Jordan Addison: 70+0%
86
Jordan Addison: 80+0%
87
Jordan Addison: 90+0%
88
T.J. Hockenson: 25+0%
89
T.J. Hockenson: 80+0%
90
T.J. Hockenson: 90+0%
91
T.J. Hockenson: 100+0%
92
Keon Coleman: 10+0%
93
Keon Coleman: 50+0%
94
Keon Coleman: 60+0%
95
Keon Coleman: 70+0%
96
Keon Coleman: 80+0%
97
James Cook III: 25+0%
98
James Cook III: 50+0%
99
James Cook III: 60+0%
100
Dalton Kincaid: 60+0%
101
Dalton Kincaid: 70+0%
102
Dalton Kincaid: 90+0%
103
Dalton Kincaid: 100+0%
104
Dalton Kincaid: 110+0%
105
Khalil Shakir: 25+0%
106
Khalil Shakir: 80+0%
107
Khalil Shakir: 90+0%
108
Khalil Shakir: 100+0%
109
Aaron Jones Sr.: 40+0%
110
Dawson Knox: 15+0%
111
Dawson Knox: 40+0%
112
Dawson Knox: 50+0%
113
Ben Yurosek: 25+0%
114
Ben Yurosek: 30+0%
115
Ben Yurosek: 40+0%
116
Ben Yurosek: 50+0%
117
Ty Johnson: 10+0%
118
Ty Johnson: 25+0%
119
Ty Johnson: 40+0%
120
DJ Moore: 20+0%
121
DJ Moore: 30+0%
122
DJ Moore: 70+0%
123
DJ Moore: 90+0%
124
DJ Moore: 110+0%
125
DJ Moore: 120+0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 3219%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
90¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
95¢
AFTER THE 1¢ FEE
+4¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 94.6% of the time, and the crowd is charging 90c. Based on 1,518 settled sports markets in the 90-99c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 1c taker fee, that leaves about 4c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,821). The price implies 90%, so historically this band has come in about 4 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Justin Jefferson: 30+ at 90¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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