What are the current odds for New England vs Miami: Spread?

New England wins by over 2.5 points 71%, New England wins by over 1.5 points 70%, New England wins by over 3.5 points 63%, New England wins by over 4.5 points 60%, New England wins by over 5.5 points 56%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. More than one outcome can occur in this event, so the prices are independent and do not sum to 100%.

Odds boards / Sports

New England vs Miami: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 27 outcomesMultiple can happen

▼10Biggest move: New England wins by over 1.5 points down to 70% recently.

New England wins by over 2.5 points▼371%

New England wins by over 1.5 points▼1070%

New England wins by over 3.5 points▼263%

New England wins by over 4.5 points60%

New England wins by over 5.5 points56%

New England wins by over 6.5 points▼253%

New England wins by over 7.5 points▼345%

New England wins by over 9.5 points40%

New England wins by over 10.5 points38%

New England wins by over 13.5 points32%

New England wins by over 14.5 points▼227%

New England wins by over 17.5 points23%

New England wins by over 16.5 points23%

Miami wins by over 1.5 points▲822%

Miami wins by over 3.5 points15%

New England wins by over 20.5 points14%

Miami wins by over 5.5 points14%

New England wins by over 23.5 points11%

New England wins by over 27.5 points10%

Miami wins by over 2.5 points0%

Miami wins by over 4.5 points0%

Miami wins by over 6.5 points0%

Miami wins by over 7.5 points0%

Miami wins by over 9.5 points0%

Miami wins by over 10.5 points0%

Miami wins by over 13.5 points0%

Miami wins by over 14.5 points0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 687%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be underpricing this

KALSHI CHARGES

71¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

78¢

AFTER THE 2¢ FEE

+5¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 77.9% of the time, and the crowd is charging 71c. Based on 1,495 settled sports markets in the 70-79c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 5c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 70–79¢ have gone on to settle YES 77% of the time (n=1,954). The price implies 71%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, New England wins by over 2.5 points at 71¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

Embed this on your site

<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/event/KXNFLSPREAD-26NOV01NEMIA" width="360" height="240" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="New England vs Miami: Spread - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXNFLSPREAD-26NOV01NEMIA">Live odds by ContractTax</a>

Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.

Odds update every few minutes. See more live boards on the odds boards hub or single-market live odds.