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LA Rams vs DEN Broncos: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 27 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼32Biggest move: LA Rams wins by over 3.5 points down to 8% recently.
1
DEN Broncos wins by over 2.5 points▲1658%
2
DEN Broncos wins by over 1.5 points▲1558%
3
DEN Broncos wins by over 3.5 points▲1547%
4
LA Rams wins by over 2.5 points▼1138%
5
LA Rams wins by over 1.5 points▼1537%
6
LA Rams wins by over 5.5 points▼279%
7
DEN Broncos wins by over 5.5 points▼228%
8
DEN Broncos wins by over 4.5 points▼238%
9
LA Rams wins by over 3.5 points▼328%
10
LA Rams wins by over 4.5 points▼298%
11
DEN Broncos wins by over 6.5 points▼206%
12
LA Rams wins by over 23.5 points4%
13
LA Rams wins by over 6.5 points▼303%
14
LA Rams wins by over 7.5 points▼253%
15
LA Rams wins by over 9.5 points▼232%
16
LA Rams wins by over 17.5 points▼82%
17
DEN Broncos wins by over 14.5 points▼91%
18
DEN Broncos wins by over 13.5 points▼121%
19
DEN Broncos wins by over 10.5 points1%
20
DEN Broncos wins by over 9.5 points▼151%
21
DEN Broncos wins by over 7.5 points▼211%
22
LA Rams wins by over 10.5 points▼221%
23
LA Rams wins by over 13.5 points▼161%
24
LA Rams wins by over 14.5 points1%
25
LA Rams wins by over 16.5 points▼101%
26
LA Rams wins by over 20.5 points▼61%
27
LA Rams wins by over 27.5 points1%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 310%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
58¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
55¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
-1¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 55.2% of the time, and the crowd is charging 58c. Based on 2,269 settled sports markets in the 50-59c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 2c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 50–59¢ have gone on to settle YES 56% of the time (n=3,284). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, DEN Broncos wins by over 2.5 points at 58¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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