Odds boards / Sports

PHI Eagles vs CHI Bears: Spread

Live Kalshi odds · 25 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼7Biggest move: CHI Bears wins by over 9.5 points down to 11% recently.
1
PHI Eagles wins by over 1.5 points▲263%
2
PHI Eagles wins by over 2.5 points▲261%
3
PHI Eagles wins by over 3.5 points▲452%
4
PHI Eagles wins by over 4.5 points▲348%
5
PHI Eagles wins by over 5.5 points▲346%
6
PHI Eagles wins by over 6.5 points▲243%
7
PHI Eagles wins by over 7.5 points35%
8
PHI Eagles wins by over 9.5 points▲133%
9
CHI Bears wins by over 1.5 points▼432%
10
CHI Bears wins by over 2.5 points▼331%
11
PHI Eagles wins by over 10.5 points▲129%
12
PHI Eagles wins by over 13.5 points▲125%
13
CHI Bears wins by over 3.5 points▼323%
14
CHI Bears wins by over 5.5 points22%
15
CHI Bears wins by over 4.5 points21%
16
PHI Eagles wins by over 14.5 points▲120%
17
PHI Eagles wins by over 16.5 points18%
18
CHI Bears wins by over 6.5 points▼218%
19
PHI Eagles wins by over 17.5 points▼214%
20
CHI Bears wins by over 7.5 points14%
21
PHI Eagles wins by over 20.5 points12%
22
CHI Bears wins by over 9.5 points▼711%
23
CHI Bears wins by over 10.5 points10%
24
CHI Bears wins by over 13.5 points▼18%
25
CHI Bears wins by over 14.5 points▲17%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 696%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
63¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
67¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+2¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 67.3% of the time, and the crowd is charging 63c. Based on 1,588 settled sports markets in the 60-69c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 2c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 60–69¢ have gone on to settle YES 65% of the time (n=2,328). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, PHI Eagles wins by over 1.5 points at 63¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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