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San Francisco vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns

Live Kalshi odds · 42 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼26Biggest move: Christian McCaffrey: 1+ down to 30% recently.
1
Christian McCaffrey: 1+▼2630%
2
Kyren Williams: 2+▲1227%
3
Puka Nacua: 1+▼1822%
4
Blake Corum: 1+▼1619%
5
Davante Adams: 1+▼2319%
6
Mike Evans: 1+▼1516%
7
Deebo Samuel Sr.: 1+▼1010%
8
SF 49ers D/ST: 1+▼310%
9
Kaelon Black: 1+▲19%
10
George Kittle: 1+9%
11
Colby Parkinson: 1+▼98%
12
Jordan James: 1+▲18%
13
Demarcus Robinson: 2+▲67%
14
LA Rams D/ST: 1+▼77%
15
Terrance Ferguson: 1+▼127%
16
Brock Purdy: 1+▼76%
17
Luke Farrell: 1+▼16%
18
Tyler Higbee: 1+▼45%
19
Christian McCaffrey: 2+▼144%
20
Jordan Whittington: 1+▼44%
21
CJ Daniels: 1+4%
22
Kyle Juszczyk: 1+4%
23
Davis Allen: 1+4%
24
Puka Nacua: 2+▼63%
25
Blake Corum: 2+▼23%
26
Davante Adams: 2+▼23%
27
Konata Mumpfield: 1+▼33%
28
Xavier Smith: 1+▼43%
29
Matthew Stafford: 1+3%
30
Mike Evans: 2+▼32%
31
Terrance Ferguson: 2+▼12%
32
George Kittle: 2+2%
33
Deebo Samuel Sr.: 2+▼21%
34
Brock Purdy: 2+▼11%
35
Colby Parkinson: 2+▼11%
36
Jordan Whittington: 2+1%
37
Konata Mumpfield: 2+1%
38
Kaelon Black: 2+1%
39
Jake Tonges: 1+▼101%
40
De'Zhaun Stribling: 1+▼181%
41
De'Zhaun Stribling: 2+▼11%
42
Tyler Higbee: 2+▼11%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 279%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
30¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
33¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+1¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 33.1% of the time, and the crowd is charging 30c. Based on 1,254 settled sports markets in the 30-39c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 1c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 30–39¢ have gone on to settle YES 33% of the time (n=1,678). The price implies 30%, so historically this band has come in about 3 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Christian McCaffrey: 1+ at 30¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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