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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: Saturday in America?

Live Kalshi odds · 14 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Trump99%
2
Crime / Criminal99%
3
Democrat99%
4
Immigrant / Immigration99%
5
Border99%
6
Biden99%
7
Election99%
8
National Security99%
9
Event does not qualify1%
10
Deport / Deported / Deportation1%
11
Sanctuary1%
12
Florida1%
13
Iran / Iranian1%
14
Fentanyl1%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 798%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Trump at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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