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Odds boards / Weather

Where will it rain on Oct 11, 2026?

Live Kalshi odds · 33 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲92Biggest move: Atlanta up to 99% recently.
1
New York City99%
2
Miami99%
3
Philadelphia99%
4
Los Angeles▲2499%
5
Las Vegas99%
6
Washington DC99%
7
Boston▲199%
8
Phoenix▲2099%
9
Atlanta▲9299%
10
Newark99%
11
Trenton99%
12
Lexington99%
13
Columbus99%
14
Providence99%
15
Pittsburgh99%
16
Indianapolis▲8999%
17
Tampa99%
18
Albuquerque▼292%
19
Chicago1%
20
Austin1%
21
Denver▼41%
22
New Orleans1%
23
San Francisco1%
24
Seattle1%
25
Minneapolis1%
26
Dallas1%
27
San Antonio1%
28
Houston1%
29
Oklahoma City1%
30
Milwaukee1%
31
College Station1%
32
Springfield1%
33
St. Louis1%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1700%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,513). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, New York City at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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