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Ebenezer · Rotten Tomatoes score

Live Kalshi odds · 19 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲55Biggest move: Above 45 up to 87% recently.
1
Above 2099%
2
Above 25▲699%
3
Above 30▲799%
4
Above 32▲1299%
5
Above 35▲2398%
6
Above 37▲3298%
7
Above 40▲4296%
8
Above 42▲4195%
9
Above 45▲5587%
10
Above 47▲4275%
11
Above 50▲2955%
12
Above 55▼815%
13
Above 60▼124%
14
Above 65▼82%
15
Above 70▼11%
16
Above 75▼11%
17
Above 801%
18
Above 851%
19
Above 901%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1026%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,933). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above 20 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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