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EV commodity prices on Aug 13, 2026

Live Kalshi odds · 15 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above 1168.5099%
2
Above 1178.5099%
3
Above 1188.5098%
4
Above 1198.5097%
5
Above 1208.5095%
6
Above 1218.5086%
7
Above 1228.5074%
8
Above 1238.507%
9
Above 1278.506%
10
Above 1248.505%
11
Above 1258.505%
12
Above 1268.501%
13
Above 1288.501%
14
Above 1298.501%
15
Above 1308.501%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 675%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 85% of the time (n=199). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 14 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above 1168.50 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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