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EV commodity prices on Aug 17, 2026

Live Kalshi odds · 15 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above 1163.7099%
2
Above 1173.7099%
3
Above 1183.7099%
4
Above 1203.7099%
5
Above 1213.7099%
6
Above 1193.7098%
7
Above 1223.7097%
8
Above 1243.7080%
9
Above 1253.705%
10
Above 1263.701%
11
Above 1273.701%
12
Above 1283.701%
13
Above 1293.701%
14
Above 1303.701%
15
Above 1233.700%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 780%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 89% of the time (n=319). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 10 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above 1163.70 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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