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EV commodity prices on Oct 12, 2026

Live Kalshi odds · 15 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above 1130.0999%
2
Above 1140.0999%
3
Above 1150.0999%
4
Above 1160.0999%
5
Above 1170.0999%
6
Above 1180.0997%
7
Above 1190.0993%
8
Above 1200.0975%
9
Above 1210.0932%
10
Above 1220.0915%
11
Above 1250.091%
12
Above 1260.091%
13
Above 1270.091%
14
Above 1230.090%
15
Above 1240.090%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 810%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,513). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above 1130.09 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXTRUEV-26OCT12">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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