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EV commodity prices on Sep 14, 2026

Live Kalshi odds · 15 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above 1142.0099%
2
Above 1152.0099%
3
Above 1162.0099%
4
Above 1182.0095%
5
Above 1172.0094%
6
Above 1192.0051%
7
Above 1202.0024%
8
Above 1212.007%
9
Above 1222.002%
10
Above 1232.002%
11
Above 1252.001%
12
Above 1262.001%
13
Above 1272.001%
14
Above 1282.001%
15
Above 1242.000%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 576%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above 1142.00 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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