Odds boards / Politics

What will Trump say during 60 Minutes?

Live Kalshi odds · 32 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲94Biggest move: Crypto / Bitcoin up to 99% recently.
1
Ukraine▲1199%
2
Oil / Gas / Gasoline▲799%
3
Nuclear▲1499%
4
Russia / Russian▲1799%
5
China / Chinese▲1499%
6
Stock Market▲3599%
7
Israel / Israeli▲2199%
8
Venezuela99%
9
AI / Artificial Intelligence▲4599%
10
Crypto / Bitcoin▲9499%
11
Impeach / Impeachment▼2850%
12
Iran (3+ times)▼728%
13
Biden▼673%
14
Tariff▼632%
15
Fake News▼542%
16
Rigged Election▼202%
17
ICE▼282%
18
Social Security▼172%
19
Ceasefire▼152%
20
NATO▼132%
21
Ballroom▼612%
22
Midterm▼821%
23
Supreme Court▼281%
24
Inflation▼821%
25
Afford / Affordable / Affordability▼671%
26
Alaska▼611%
27
Zohran / Mamdani▼121%
28
Obama▼711%
29
Communist / Communism▼391%
30
Trump Account▼81%
31
Fraud▼451%
32
Event does not qualify1%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1078%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,820). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Ukraine at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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