Odds boards / Politics

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?

Live Kalshi odds · 42 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲73Biggest move: Blockade up to 99% recently.
1
Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%
2
Transgender▲299%
3
Dividend / Stimulus▲399%
4
Afford / Affordable / Affordability▲499%
5
Kamala▲3099%
6
Made in America / American Made▲2699%
7
ICE▲1399%
8
Ossoff▲399%
9
China / Chinese▲1099%
10
Sleepy Joe▲1599%
11
Russia / Ukraine▲3499%
12
Sanctuary▲3399%
13
Barack Hussein Obama▲4199%
14
Hormuz▲4199%
15
AI / Artificial Intelligence▲6299%
16
Iran (5+ times)▲2399%
17
Supreme Court▲2999%
18
Israel / Israeli▲6999%
19
Blockade▲7399%
20
Gulf of America▲6899%
21
Hegseth99%
22
Save America Act94%
23
Healthcare▼492%
24
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating▼3457%
25
Space Force25%
26
America First▲120%
27
Hurricane19%
28
Deport / Deported / Deportation▲618%
29
Marco / Rubio18%
30
Science17%
31
Drill Baby Drill▼1212%
32
Fentanyl▼712%
33
Fraud (3+ times)▼310%
34
Data Center▼119%
35
Trump Account▼38%
36
Palestine / Palestinian▼27%
37
TrumpRX▲37%
38
Marjorie5%
39
Ceasefire▲14%
40
Peace in the Middle East▼21%
41
Crypto / Bitcoin▼11%
42
Event does not qualify▼11%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2516%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,519). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Oil / Gas / Gasoline at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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