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What will Trump say during his rally in Kentucky?

Live Kalshi odds · 39 outcomesMultiple can happen
▲92Biggest move: Deport / Deported / Deportation up to 99% recently.
1
Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%
2
Transgender▲399%
3
Dividend / Stimulus▲399%
4
Healthcare▲499%
5
Save America Act▲499%
6
Afford / Affordable / Affordability▲499%
7
China / Chinese▲999%
8
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating▲999%
9
Sleepy Joe▲1199%
10
Russia / Ukraine▲2799%
11
Sanctuary▲5099%
12
Barack Hussein Obama▲2099%
13
ICE▲2099%
14
Coal▲1199%
15
Tariff (3+ times)▲1799%
16
Supreme Court▲1499%
17
Massie▲1699%
18
Gulf of America▲5299%
19
Deport / Deported / Deportation▲9299%
20
Fentanyl▲8799%
21
Ford99%
22
Kamala▼721%
23
Made in America / American Made▼791%
24
Hormuz▼611%
25
AI / Artificial Intelligence▼561%
26
Iran (5+ times)▼801%
27
Israel / Israeli▼421%
28
Blockade▼441%
29
Fraud (3+ times)▼131%
30
America First▼191%
31
Trump Account▼31%
32
Data Center▼71%
33
Palestine / Palestinian▼71%
34
Drill Baby Drill▼231%
35
Ceasefire▼21%
36
TrumpRX▼51%
37
Peace in the Middle East▼11%
38
Crypto / Bitcoin▼11%
39
Event does not qualify▼11%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2097%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,522). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Oil / Gas / Gasoline at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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