Odds boards / Politics

What will Trump say during The Ingraham Angle?

Live Kalshi odds · 26 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Israel / Israeli99%
2
Communist / Communism99%
3
Stock Market99%
4
Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%
5
China / Chinese99%
6
Tariff99%
7
Inflation99%
8
Obama / Obamacare99%
9
Iran (3+ times)99%
10
Radical Left99%
11
Democrat98%
12
Midterm30%
13
Dividend / Stimulus14%
14
AI / Artificial Intelligence13%
15
Hottest9%
16
Afford / Affordable / Affordability5%
17
Transgender4%
18
Biden3%
19
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation3%
20
Talarico3%
21
Event does not qualify1%
22
Fake News1%
23
Ceasefire1%
24
Save America Act1%
25
America First1%
26
Healthcare1%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1178%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Israel / Israeli at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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